Tim Byrdak has appeared in an MLB-high 33 games this year. Amazingly, 18 of those appearances have been for a single batter. We can debate the wisdom of carrying a pitcher for such an incredibly limited role. What is crystal clear is how efficient Byrdak has been in those one-batter outings and how horrible he has been in other outings. Here are his splits based on batters faced:

1 BF – 2 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 7 Ks, 1.69 ERA, 0.375 WHIP
2+BF- 6 H, 6 ER, 7 BB, 14 Ks, 5.06 ERA, 1.219 WHIP

The important thing to remember is that Byrdak’s season high in batters faced in a game is six. He’s been extremely good when asked to face only one batter. When asked to do more than that – his ERA is worse than either Jon Rauch or Ramon Ramirez.

DUDA DELIVERS – After beginning the year just 3-23, Duda has posted a .283/.375/.464 line over his last 192 PA. In his last eight games, Buffalo Head has 5 HR in 28 ABs and a 1.353 OPS in 33 PA. It should come as no surprise that this recent hot streak has come about as Duda has cut way back on his strikeouts. He has fanned just six times in his last eight games for an 18.2 K%. In his dreadful start to the year, Duda notched a 32.1 K%.

Last year, Duda supplied much of his power in road games. Eight of his 10 HR came away from Citi Field and he had a .239 ISO in road parks compared to a 134 ISO at home. But here in 2012, Duda has hit seven of his 10 HR in Citi Field, where he has a .232 ISO. In road games, his ISO checks in at 141.

DAVIS DOESN’T – While Duda has been the middle-of-the-order hitter the Mets hoped he would be, Ike Davis has been a huge disappointment. Perhaps only by necessity, Terry Collins has displayed incredible patience by continuing to write Davis’ name into the lineup card. But with Jason Bay’s return imminent, changes could (and should) be in the air.

How awful has Davis been? His 43 OPS+ is the 11th-worst mark all-time for the Mets among players with 150 or more ABs in a season. Backup catchers and reserve middle infielders known for lousy hitting, like Chris Cannizzaro and Joe McEwing, have been better than Davis. Only twice in Mets history has a player had this many ABs and performed worse than Davis in a year when the team had a winning record.

Rey Ordonez posted an OPS+ of 36 for the 1997 Mets, who went 88-74 despite those contributions from their starting SS. And the 1973 Mets managed 82 wins when the great Duffy Dyer recorded a 37 OPS+ as the team’s backup catcher. The worst mark in team history for a player with at least 150 ABs is the 22 OPS+ by Doug Flynn in 282 ABs for the 1977 Mets. Flynn joined the team in the Tom Seaver deal and the Mets were 32-49 (.395) in games he started.

LET’S BE FRANK – With the exception of a handful of closers, most fanbases are leery of the guy called upon to get the final three outs in tight games. There’s no better example of this than Armando Benitez, who had a fantastic save percentage but who was trusted by Mets fans about as far as they could throw his large frame.

Many fans compare Benitez to the team’s current closer, Frank Francisco and trust him just about as much. Francisco has had some rocky moments here early in his career with the Mets but in his last nine games, he has 6 Saves, a 0.93 ERA and has held opposing batters to a .488 OPS. In 9.2 IP, he’s allowed 2 BB and has 12 Ks.

OH, TO BE YOUNG AGAINChris Young made his 2012 debut recently and pitched solidly in his return from shoulder problems, as he allowed 2 ER in 5 IP and came away with a no-decision. Young was very good in his brief time with the Mets last year and fans are hoping that he can give the team that same production over 15 or so starts.

Young lives on the edge being a fly ball pitcher with a low HR rate. He helped himself last year by allowing just 9 Line Drives in 24 IP, a LD% of 15.3%. But he gave up 5 LD in 5 IP and has a 27.8 LD%. Of course it’s a small sample, but it’s unlikely Young will match last year’s success if he continues to allow nearly twice as many line drives as a year ago.

OUR COMPETITIVE DISADVANTAGE – The Mets are set to begin the first of their yearly home-and-home series with the Yankees. The Mets play a tougher Interleague schedule than any team in baseball on a yearly basis. It hasn’t meant much the past few years but if they remain in the Wild Card chase throughout the year it will make a difference in 2012. While the Mets play six games against the Yankees (who have won 10 of their last 14 games) the Giants, who are currently a game ahead in the Wild Card standings, get six games against the Athletics, who recently lost nine straight games.

7 comments on “Tim Byrdak’s splits, Ike Davis’ slump, Chris Young’s LD%

  • Mike Koehler

    Interleague play was an interesting idea, but it’s gotten out of hand. Why should the Mets and Yankees beat each other up for six games, while the Giants pound the A’s for their six games? I can appreciate the natural rivalry between SF and OAK, just like the currently-lopsided CHC and CHW rivalry, but enough is enough.

    Each team should play more games within their league and outside of their division. How often do the Mets get to play the Cubs or the Diamondbacks?

    • NormE

      I agree with you, Mike. But, interleague play was put in to improve fan interest and attendance; in other words, revenue. We would need a stat wizard like Brian to analyze whether attendance at interleague games throughout the majors draws more fans. We may assume that it helps attendance at Citifield when the Yankees are in, but the Yankees may improve attendance wherever they go. The Mets may improve attendance at some AL cities, but not all.
      Come on Brian. This is why we pay you!

      • Brian Joura

        The problem is that Interleague games are played on the weekends in warm weather. There are a half dozen that are really good for attendance, including Mets-Yankees. Any look at attendance ends up skewed because Interleague is titled towards things that will make attendance rise.

        We will see how popular Interleague is next year when we have one nearly every day. Let’s see how the numbers are next year when they include Pirates-Royals games midweek in cold weather.

        • Baseball 1010

          That’s it, that’s the answer. Do you want to address the fact that Rauch and Ramirez have ERA’s higher than Byrdak?

          • Brian Joura

            Tim Byrdak is micro-managed to the point where he has the platoon advantage over 60 percent of the time and the majority of his appearances are for one batter. He should have remarkable numbers and if Rauch or Ramirez was used in that capacity their numbers would be significantly better.

            In the past two years, there have been over 1,000 posts at the site and the only time you ever comment is on Tim Byrdak. Are you related?

  • Baseball 1010

    You numbers on Byrdak are not really relevant. The body of work for going 2/3 of an inning is not large enough for a real comparison. When Byrdak went 2/3 of an inning Sunday his ERA in your Rauch, Ramirez comparison dropped below theirs. You did hide behind the keyboard and say he was horrible, but Ike Davis is only a disappointment. Is it really necessary to make those comments on a player? I think most of us are aware that Ike is not getting it done and Byrdak is not horrible.

  • Brian Joura

    Hide behind a keyboard? That’s funny coming from “Baseball 1010” don’t you think?

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