In Part 1, we discussed the tough stuff. Here comes the candy.
I will list the pitchers in what I feel is a particular order of excellence. The ETA’s will vary, but we’ll come back at the end an sum up the vast talent on this team.
If Mets excellent pitching was a levy in New Orleans, it would be breaching. There’s plenty to go around for years to come and even more to use in future trades to get critical every day players.
1. Zack Wheeler – 2013: Buffalo/NYM – Currently projected to be the Mets future SP2, but has already showed the potential to fill the SP1 job beginning in 2015. The only downside is his mechanics which will become an issue in his 30’s, but that’s a long way and a lot of wins off.
2. Matt Harvey – 2013: NYM SP2 – is there someone on this planet that isn’t impressed here? This may not only be the next Mets 20-game winner after RA pulls it off this season, but he may also be the first pinch hitter off the bench on days he doesn’t pitch. This 1-2 combination is the kind of pitching winners are made of.
3. RA Dickey – 2013: NYM SP1 – Dickey’s contract is not David Wright’s contract, and neither will his demands be even close. Wright is a baseball player while Dickey is an artist playing baseball. He’s at home in the Mets clubhouse and will gladly accept a three-year deal in the $10mil range. You watch. He’s be back for three more, the second of which will end badly.
4. Rafael Montero – 2013: St.Lucie-Binghamton – In the long run, Montero may have more talent than everyone in this post. The Mets are already talking about turning him into a closer, but that’s going to be Jack Leathersich’s job. 21-yrs. old, 20-starts Sav-Lucy, 110-K, 19-BB. Just sick stuff.
5. Johan Santana – 2013: NYM1-DL – Out of respect, the Mets will let Santana pitch on opening day. The rest is a crap shoot, but I expect a ‘plan 2” that could include any combination of pitchers, most of which are probably not on this team yet. 2013 is going to be the last year that the Mets pitching staff doesn’t command. They’re close, but not there yet.
6. Jenrry Mejia – 2013 – NYM – He will probably start for the remainder of the year in Queens, but Jenrry is headed to the pen because that is where the team needs him in 2013. There’s an outside chance he will start in 2014, but I don’t think so.
7. Dillon Gee – 2013 – NYM – Gee should be fine and back at the tail end of the Mets rotation come spring. He’s got one more year to do his thing before one of the kiddies probably will take his job away. Frankly, I think you would have seen him packaged in an off-season deal if it wasn’t for the injury, which now makes his 2013 job relatively safe. He does little spectacular, but he also a major innings eater that does little wrong.
8. Cory Mazzoni – 2013 – AAA – I’m going to step out a little with this pick. Mazzoni is my choice to replace Gee as SP5 in 2014; however, don’t be surprised he isn’t shipped somewhere in a package deal this off season. I may be wrong here, but my guess is that Cory and Dillon will fight it out for this slot in the 2014 ST camp.
(note – the true test of whether Sandy Alderson was worth bringing aboard this listing ship is if he can bring aboard one quality every day starter for 3-4 seconday prospects that the Mets won’t miss. Mazzoni is a perfect example of this kind of player)
10. Jeurys Familia – 2013 – AAA - Mr. Inconsistency. He couldn’t have worse timing. Familia should have been ready to join the Mets rotation in June but my guess is he won’t even make the pen. I think there even is a good chance he will begin to draw comparisons to Alay Soler. IMO, the best you’re going to get here is an 8th inning guy, but that’s going to be Mejia’s job in 2013.
Opening Day Rotations:
2013 – Johan Santana, RA Dickey, Matt Harvey, Jon Niese, Dillon Gee
2014 – Matt Harvey, Zack Wheeler, RA Dickey, Jon Niese, Cory Mazzoni
2015 – Zack Wheeler, Matt Harvey, Rafael Montero, Jon Niese, Michael Fulmer
2016 – Zack Wheeler, Rafael Montero, Matt Harvey, Michael Fulmer,
Now, here’s the desert.
Not included are the following pitchers that will be MLB read by the 2015 season:
You’ve got to be able to get somebody decent for: