My good buddy, Matt Garrioch of MLB Prospect Guide and Minor League Ball, comes out every year with his top prospect list and we both go professionally head to head with each other (it has been professional, right Matt J) over what he was smoking when he came up with some of these names. Of course, both of us are just applying opinions here, which, as the old saying goes…
Matt has 666 followers on Twitter. I have 70. Is this where I insert the ‘quality verses quantity’ piece?
Here are Matt’s pics and my thoughts:
AAA – International League
Hitting – none – I can’t agree more. The system didn’t produce one potential major league starter. Zach Lutz (.298) and Josh Satin (.286) both had a nice year, but are far from the top 15 hitters in AAA. This seems to be a yearly pattern with this team and it sure would be nice if the policies of the Mets could change so more prospects could play, trip, fall, pick themselves up, and learn to play at this level, rather than field AAAA players (Fred Lewis, Bobby Scales, Val Pascuchi, etc) that have no future in Queens. Enough of this.
Pitching – #2 – Jeurys Familia
#6 – Matt Harvey
#11 – Jenrry Mejia – Matt and I never agree about everything, but I have to tell you this. You’re going to have to look far and wide to find someone that ranks Familia ahead of Harvey. I don’t even have him second in AAA this year. That would go to Josh Edgn, with Mejia coming in a close third. It seems that Edgin and Harvey have successfully made the jump to Queens, but overall, the production out of the AAA franchise is once again sub-par.
I will say this. Prospects were once again exposed early to the MLB due to injuries on the parent squad and players like Kirk Nieuwenhius and Luca Duda had their downside exposed
AA – Eastern League
Hitting – #3 – Wilmer Flores
#5 – Jefry Marte
#9 – Wilfredo Tovar – I don’t understand how you leave off a .340 hitter from this list. I believe Matt Den Dekker was leading the league in hitting when he was promoted to AAA. Garrioch does list players that excelled at multiple levels. Doesn’t Dekker deserve a proper ranking here, even though his AAA stint was sub-par? The Eastern League should be disbanded and the players auctioned off if Marte’s .251 stint ranks him the best prospect overall. I barely had him fifth on the B-Mets alone.
A+ – Florida State League
Hitting – #5 – Wilfredo Tovar
#7 – Wilmer Flores – I tried to figure out Matt’s criteria in ranking Tovar this high. He batters .284 while with this team, which would rank him at the end of the season as the 13th top hitter. I can understand the Flores pick because he ranks fourth overall in the league. Also, it’s obvious that hitting one less than the league leading home run hitter (Cory Vaughn) doesn’t get you on the list unless you bat over .250 (.243). Basically, this was a team full of .250 hitters, proving they future is in doubt.
Pitching – #11 – Rafael Montero
A – South Atlantic League
Hitting – none – and you thought St. Lucie hitters were meh? The Mets seem to consistently drafting players at all positions that simply don’t have the skills to stand out. Has this become that big of a pitcher dominated sport now. OF Travis Taijeron did well here, but faded at Lucy. Aderlin Rodriguez did his annual twice-the errors-to-home-runs ration and finally got out of town And OF Dustin Lawley’s 14 HRs gave us something to keep an eye on, but it was C Cam Maron who was the closest thing to a bat here (and he couldn’t throw out Toby Hyde at second. I sure hope the Mets return to the free agency market in 2014-2015 because, between what played in St. Lucie and Savannah this year, you’ve got two years of bad road coming down the highway.
Pitching – #3 – Michael Fulmer
#14 – Domingo Tapia – It’s a shame Logan Verrett had to spend time on the DL for a questionable injury during a period where there were too many starters on the roster. He definitely would have made this list.
Low-A – New York Penn League
Hitting – #11 – Phillip Evans – Phillip Evans? What are you talking about, Willis? Is Matt a close relative? A .252 batting average for a top prospect at this level should earn you nothing. The only player that came close to the top 15 should have been Eudy Pina.
Pitching – #2 – Gabriel Ynoa
#9 – Luis Cessa
#10 – Hansel Robles – and Matt easily could have kept going from there with up to three more names. A very talented staff, though generally old of the level they played at.
Rookie – Appalachian League
Hitting – #12 – Tomas Nido
Pitching – #9 – Robert Gsellman – Nido batted ..242??? Is this a name fetish? Gsellman had a 1.37 WHIP. I’m sorry, the only player on this team that showed me something was an early Steven Matz and a late John Gant.
Rookie – Dominican Summer League
Pitching – none
I need to bring to your attention that, if the season ended on 9-13 before going into the night’s schedule of games, the Mets would have been granted the 8th pick in the 1st round of the 2012 draft.
This is like, really big shit folks and, even the Mets would have a hard time passing over one of the quality names at the beginning of the draft.
The A+ blue-chippers (in no particular order) are:
RHP Mark Appel
OF Austin Meadows
LHP Sean Manaea
RHP Ryne Stanek
C Jeremy Martinez
SS Oscar Mercado
3B Kris Bryant
There would be so much still ‘out there’, including ‘pop’ outfielders like college boys Austin Wilson, Aaron Judge, and Tony Kemp, all of which could end the year at AA.