I can’t find an official Rule 5 list, but I did compile at least these guys:
P – Zack Wheeler (ya think?), Chris Schwinden, Gonzalez Germen, Darin Gorski, Brad Holt, Armondo Rodriguez, Luis Cessa
IF – Josh Satin, Eric Campbell, Alan Dykstra, Jefry Marte, Wilfredo Tovar, Aderlin Rodriguez
OF – Alonzo Harris
C – Juan Centeno, Francisco Pena
-I have to think that 1B-2B-OF Josh Satin will be one of the first players lost in the Rule Five Draft (December 6, 2012). I did talk with Josh on Friday night and he reminded me that, technically, he still has two more years on his Mets contract. You sign your life away for seven years when you’re drafted and, in the case if Satin, it sure seems like a lifetime of hell. This is a guy that has a 5-year stat line of: .303/.396/.462/.857 and he just can’t get this team to take him serious. Let’s compare this to other minor league career stat lines… Lucas Duda (6-yrs): .284/.380/.469/.849… Kirk Nieuwenhuis (5-yrs): .280/.354/.464/.817… Ike Davis (3-yrs): .288/.371/.467/.837… Daniel Murphy (4-yrs): .295/.356/.452/.808… the Mets were going to play him exclusively last year in the outfield during the Venezuelan Fall League, but it just didn’t happen. According to Baseball Cube, he still hasn’t played a game in the outfield and, if you don’t try here, at least trade the guy and get yourself someone before you’re going to lose your next Mike Carp.
-Speaking of Rule Five candidates… that aren’t (or are they?… 27-yr. old RHRP Jeff Kaplan clawed himself back from repeated injuries and posted a 2012 stat line (St.Lucie/Binghamton) of: 5-0, 3.50, 25-appearances. He’s 17-14, 3.02 lifetime, with 212-K in 259-IP. He gets a 6th year push due to his only one appearance in 2010. Considered a finesse pitcher, he has given up only nine home runs his entire career.
Jeff was philosophical about his career so far: “Mack, this off season will be devoted to making sure I am healthy and ready to go next season. There are some things that I can’t control, but what I can do is make sure I am preparing myself the best I can. I believe I am Rule 5 eligible, but I can’t answer that for sure, I do not keep up with that kind of stuff, sorry. All I am focused on at this point is being able to pitch. Hope that helps. Jeff
I expect Kaplan will start 2013 back with Binghamton, get his legs, and move on to Las Vegas by the all-star break.
Someone far from worrying about the Rule 5 Draft is SP Steve Matz. He just started getting his strength back in 2012 with a horrible Kingsport (6-starts, 2-1, 1.55) when the arm tightened up, probably from throwing too hard (100) too early. Matz told me last Sunday that he’s fine:
“Hey Mack, hope all is well. Just got done with instructs feeling good after long tossing so I’m just on a normal off season program until next year.”
Observation: Still only 21, I see him finished 2013 in Savannah, St. Lucie in 2014, and a Queens ETA (26-yrs. old).
I talked to P Akeel Morris and asked if he received a winter assignment this year. Morris said: “Hey Mack, no sir I’m not… not this year.” Everything was going along hunky-dory for Morris. He was a top SP prospect out of the Virgin Islands and went 8-G, 6-ST, 1-1, 2.19 for the GCL Mets in 2010 and 11-G, 11-ST, 3-2, 2.86 for Kingsport in 2011. Then, everything just seem to go to hell, ending with a 7-18 start (2.1-IP, 7-ER) followed by 7-24 (2.0-IP, 10-ER). Who leaves a kid in for 10 runs in the first two innings? The geniuses at K-Port immediately banished him to the bullpen, which might have been the best thing to happen to him. The pressure was off the 19-year old and he actually settled down, giving up only two runs in his last five outings (16-IP, 27-K). Morris added that there was nothing wrong with his arm: “My arm feels good… No there was nothing physically wrong.. Just had a tough year”. Observation: Like fellow-fallen prospect Juan Urbina, there really is no room for the two of them in the 2013 Savannah rotation, which will feature the crew from Brooklyn and John Gant. Hell, there isn’t even room for Miller Diaz. It looks like Savannah has a new middle reliever, with closer potential.
Here’s your 2013 “Salary Template” as of today:
IF (1) – David Wright $15.350mil
That’s 14 members of the 25-man that total $83,770,000
Guys (and their 2012 salary) that still need to be added, are:
SP – Dillon Gee $502K
OF – Mike Baxter $480K, Lucas Duda $497,218
That’s 10 more members of the 25-man, which now total 24. You’re short a catcher (Shoppach).
The 10 added had a combined 2012 salary of $5,358,438
‘HoJo’s Mojo’, over at Metsmerized, estimates that it will cost the Mets around $6.5mil more to close a deal for Murphy, Thole, Davis, and Parnell. I add a $2mil salary for Shoppach and the numbers come in at:
25-men, $99,462,438, no new players
Most vulnerable player/projection: Acosta – $963K
There seems to be around nothing to spend to improve here unless you replace someone already in uniform with a new face.
Our friends over at Metsmerized made a good point this past week. The lighter air in Las Vegas could distort both sides of the stats. Hitters will find it easier getting ball off the bat, while pitchers will have a devil of a time keeping their ERAs down.
‘Mr. North Jersey’, over at The Real Dirty Mets added to this by comparing the AAA-IL and AAA-PCL over a 5-year period: IL: .261/.329/.399/8,208-HR/41,120-RBI… PCL: .278/.348/.434, 11,163-HR, 55,882-RBI (not even close).
I was stationed in Denver and spent time playing tennis in Boulder. It’s a lot different folks and things just seem to go easier with ‘something’ in your hands (bat, club, racket, etc.). I’m sure the Mets are rethinking their priorities regarding Zack Wheeler and Darin Gorski. On the other hand, do you hype up Wilmer Flores and Matt den Dekker? Lastly, what a great place to send a marginal hitting prospect to pump up the jam for a possible in-season trade. ‘Mr. North Jersey’ added.