Marlon Byrd is having a World Class season. He’s currently hitting .280/.324/.508 with 17 HRs and 60 RBI on the year. He’s also due a pittance of a salary and holds no commitment beyond 2013. All of these things SHOULD make Byrd a highly sought after player at the trade deadline. Except for the fact that the Mets don’t want to trade him.
Logic dictates that Byrd has more value to the 2013 Mets than anyone that they would get back in a deal. A random Met fan, Tim, writes:
It would deflate the morale on the team, he’s a very positive influence in the clubhouse, and has been a big help to the younger outfielders. Call me crazy, but if this team could just reel off a couple of wins in a row, who knows what could happen? Met fans know all too well about late season collapses, and the optimist in me wants to believe that anything is possible! Ya Gotta Believe!!!!!
Yet an argument remains, do the 2013 Mets matter? The Mets have nearly no shot at making the playoffs in 2013 and less of a chance to win the World Series. So, shouldn’t the Mets and Sandy Alderson be looking at 2014 and beyond? The short answer is, Yes. The long answer is, Yes… but.
The major obstacle stopping Alderson from helping the Mets of tomorrow is that without Byrd’s bat, the Mets of today might become un-watchable. This is a problem because the Mets don’t want to lose any more fans to the apathy of a losing ball-club and they can’t afford to lose the additional revenue those fans represent. Now… all this changes if teams are willing to “Overpay” for Byrd.
What is overpaying?:
There are three teams that have been listed in connection to Byrd. That means there are several potential trades to evaluate. Here is a list of what I think would be “realistic overpayment” and what would be “realistic value” for the Mets to expect.
Overpaying – Luis Sardinas: He’s blocked by Elvis Andrus and Jurickson Profar and the Rangers KNOW they have a golden trade chip. He’s a shortstop who can field and hit, they just don’t need him. Not needing Sardinas gets his name onto the list, but Byrd seems like a pittance for a guy who the Rangers might someday look to trade for a #1 or #2 pitcher.
Value – Nick Williams: Now, I think Williams is a very good prospect, but I also know that he’s only in Full Season A right now. He’s a future corner outfielder who has a big-time contact bat with enough pop to play the corner. The Rangers could have a big-time prospect on their hands but with him so far away (2-3 years), the Mets could look at Williams in a deal for Byrd.
Overpaying – Gregory Polanco: Polanco is in AA and would come to the Mets and immediately jump to the #1 OF prospect spot ahead of Cesar Puello. Polanco is a dreaded “5-Tool-Player”. Why dreaded? Do Preston Wilson, Alex Escobar and Lastings Milledge ring any bells? The point is that Polanco could fight for a starting outfield spot in 2014 and become a starting player for the Mets moving into the future… So why would the Pirates make the trade? Good question.
Value – Willy Garcia: Unlike Polanco, Garcia is not “Ready to go”. He’s down in A+ and would need a year in AA/AAA to prove his worth before the Mets would see him play. The thing with Garcia is that he has corner outfield power and can probably be a right fielder in the majors, where Polanco will rely more on his legs for value.
Overpaying – Dylan Bundy: The Orioles have said they are open to trading Bundy but you have to imagine the Mets would need to sweeten the deal from a Byrd rental by more than a little bit. That being said, Bundy is available and would give the Mets some flexing power in their offseason push for a player in the caliber of Giancarlo Stanton. Ultimately… NOT GOING TO HAPPEN.
Value – ???: Part of the reason I have to reach for the Orioles overpay player is that I don’t see great matches amongst their prospects. I cannot find a prospect the Mets would find obvious benefit in acquiring should the Orioles not lose their sanity and trade Bundy.
Looking at fan reactions, I’m not sure this is something the Mets should do anyway. Here are some more random fan reactions:
Keith – Yes, I’d trade Byrd. I don’t think he’s worth a Top 100 prospect to anyone, but I’d take a good back of the rotation guy.
Paul – No, but I’d trade Parnell…
Glen – Trade Byrd tomorrow then bring up Flores and d’Arnaud…
Julio – I would not trade him unless we got a surefire major leaguer in return.
Rocco – Yes. We’re not winning it all this year and he is 35 years old… I take someone that can help us in 2014 or 2015.
Mary – NO!
Frank – No way!!!!!!
Karl – Don’t touch Byrd with a 10 foot pole!
Robin – Do not do it.
What do you say?
1) Would you trade Byrd?
2) What is a name you would look for in return?