Mets360 Draft series: The 2000 MLB Draft

If nothing else, hopefully having the team’s top minor league affiliate in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League the past several years has taught individuals the need for context. An .800 OPS in the International League is a different beast than the same mark in the PCL.

Perhaps nowhere is context needed more than with the amateur draft. If I told you that Team A delivered 10 guys to the majors in the past five years, would you consider that good? Hopefully you would throw your hands up in the air and ask for some context. What have other teams done in that same span? How good were the 10 guys? Did the 10 guys make their mark with the team that drafted them or another club? Were guys who never made an impact traded away for guys who did? All these and other ideas are important things to consider when judging a farm system.

Over the next two weeks or so, we’re going to try and deliver some context. Of course, there are many challenges in doing this. Perhaps the most obvious is that it takes time for prospects to make their way through the farm system. It’s impossible to rate accurately the 2017 Draft today. Shoot, we can’t even accurately rate the 2011 Draft yet.

But while we can’t rate a recent particular draft, we should strive to see what would make for a good draft. If you have five picks in the top 100 and three of them make the majors – is that good? If you have the 17th pick in the draft and your guy turns in a 10-bWAR career, is that good? If they guy selected right after you pick turns into a star, does that mean your draft is a failure? These are things to keep in mind over the next couple of weeks, as we unveil results one draft at a time.

We’re going to start looking at the 2000 Draft because it’s a nice round number and it has the advantage of being recent enough to be at least somewhat relevant and far enough away that everyone who was drafted that year who is going to make the majors has already done so. We’re going to display two charts. The first one is going to list the top 100 guys who were picked in the order they were picked. And the second is going to re-order the players into their (to-date) lifetime bWAR.

OvPck Team Signed Name WAR Type
1 Marlins Y Adrian Gonzalez 42.7 HS
2 Twins Y Adam Johnson -1.1 4Yr
3 Cubs Y Luis Montanez -1.2 HS
4 Royals Y Mike Stodolka   HS
5 Expos Y Justin Wayne -1.5 4Yr
6 Devil Rays Y Rocco Baldelli 10.2 HS
7 Rockies N Matt Harrington   HS
8 Tigers Y Matt Wheatland   HS
9 Padres Y Mark Phillips   HS
10 Angels Y Joe Torres   HS
11 Brewers Y Dave Krynzel 0.2 HS
12 White Sox Y Joe Borchard -1.5 4Yr
13 Cardinals Y Shaun Boyd   HS
14 Orioles Y Beau Hale   4Yr
15 Phillies Y Chase Utley 65.4 4Yr
16 Mets via Mariners Y *Billy Traber -0.7 4Yr
17 Dodgers Y Ben Diggins -0.7 4Yr
18 Blue Jays Y Miguel Negron   HS
19 Pirates Y Sean Burnett 6.1 HS
20 Angels via Athletics Y *Chris Bootcheck -1.5 4Yr
21 Giants Y Boof Bonser -0.5 HS
22 Red Sox Y Phil Dumatrait -1.8 JC
23 Reds Y David Espinosa   HS
24 Cardinals via Rangers Y *Blake Williams   4Yr
25 Rangers via Mets Y *Scott Heard   HS
26 Indians Y Corey Smith   HS
27 Astros Y Rob Stiehl   JC
28 Yankees Y Dave Parrish   4Yr
29 Braves via Diamondbacks Y *Adam Wainwright 39.3 HS
30 Braves Y Scott Thorman -1 HS
31 Twins N *Aaron Heilman 1.8 4Yr
32 Orioles Y *Tripper Johnson   HS
33 Blue Jays Y *Dustin McGowan 1.8 HS
34 Reds Y *Dustin Moseley 0.5 HS
35 Rangers N *Tyrell Godwin -0.1 4Yr
36 Mets Y *Bobby Keppel 0.3 HS
37 Indians Y *Derek Thompson 0.2 HS
38 Braves Y *Kelly Johnson 17.8 HS
39 Rangers Y *Chad Hawkins   4Yr
40 Braves Y *Aaron Herr   HS
41 Marlins Y Jason Stokes   HS
42 Twins Y Tagg Bozied   4Yr
43 Cubs Y Bobby Hill 0.3  
44 Royals Y Mike Tonis -0.1 4Yr
45 Blue Jays via Expos Y *Peter Bauer   4Yr
46 Reds via Devil Rays Y *Dane Sardinha -1 4Yr
47 Rockies Y Jason Young -1 4Yr
48 Tigers Y Chad Petty   HS
49 Padres Y Xavier Nady 3.8 4Yr
50 Angels Y Jared Abruzzo   HS
51 Braves via Brewers Y *Bubba Nelson   HS
52 White Sox Y Tim Hummel -1.3 4Yr
53 Cardinals Y Chris Narveson 0.6 HS
54 Twins via Orioles Y *J.D. Durbin -0.5 HS
55 Indians via Phillies Y *Brian Tallet 0.3 4Yr
56 Rangers via Mariners Y *Jason Bourgeois 0 HS
57 Dodgers Y Joel Hanrahan 4.7 HS
58 Blue Jays Y Dominic Rich   4Yr
59 Pirates Y David Beigh   HS
60 Athletics Y Freddie Bynum -1.3 JC
61 Giants Y Lance Niekro 0.4 4Yr
62 Red Sox Y Manny Delcarmen 3.9 HS
63 Reds Y Ryan Snare -0.2 4Yr
64 Rangers Y Randy Truselo   HS
65 Mets Y Matt Peterson   HS
66 Indians Y Mark Folsom   HS
67 Astros Y Chad Qualls 6.3 4Yr
68 Yankees Y Danny Borrell   4Yr
69 Diamondbacks Y Mike Schultz 0 4Yr
70 Braves Y Bryan Digby   HS
71 Marlins Y Rob Henkel   4Yr
72 Twins Y Colby Miller   HS
73 Cubs Y Aaron Krawiec   4Yr
74 Royals Y Scott Walter   4Yr
75 Expos Y Grady Sizemore 27.2 HS
76 Cubs via Devil Rays Y *Nic Jackson   4Yr
77 Rockies Y Chris Buglovsky   4Yr
78 Tigers Y Nook Logan 3 JC
79 Padres Y Omar Falcon   HS
80 Angels Y Tommy Murphy 0.4 4Yr
81 Brewers Y Dane Artman   HS
82 White Sox Y Mike Morse 4 HS
83 Cardinals Y Chase Voshell   4Yr
84 Orioles Y Richard Bartlett   HS
85 Phillies Y Keith Bucktrot   HS
86 Orioles via Mariners Y *Tommy Arko   HS
87 Dodgers Y Jeff Tibbs   HS
88 Blue Jays Y Morrin Davis   HS
89 Pirates Y Chris Young 17.6 4Yr
90 Athletics Y Daylan Holt   4Yr
91 Giants Y Brion Treadway   4Yr
92 Red Sox Y Matt Cooper   HS
93 Reds Y Dave Gil   4Yr
94 Rangers Y Chris Russ   4Yr
95 Mets Y Josh Reynolds   4Yr
96 Indians Y Sean Swedlow   HS
97 Astros Y Tony Pluta   HS
98 Yankees Y Jason Grove   4Yr
99 Diamondbacks Y Bill White -0.4 4Yr
100 Braves Y Blaine Boyer 0.3 HS

The Marlins had the first pick in the draft and selected Gonzalez, who went on to amass 42.7 bWAR. It’s hard to argue with this pick, especially when you see that three of the next four guys put up a negative bWAR in the majors and the fourth guy didn’t even make the big leagues. He didn’t post the most bWAR from this draft but from a pure talent POV, this seems to be a pretty good pick. Of course, Gonzalez took a little while to get untracked and never played a game in the majors with the Marlins.

He was dealt to the Rangers for Ugueth Urbina, who went 1-0 with 4 Saves in the postseason for the Marlins in 2003 before leaving as a free agent. While some will argue that flags fly forever, others will suggest that the Marlins didn’t get enough return for Gonzalez. Perhaps both sides have a point but ultimately, just on the merits of the draft pick, it was a solid choice.

For our first draft examined, it’s hard to look at the 2000 Draft and feel like it went particularly well for most teams. There were a lot of high misses and even guys who made the majors didn’t contribute much. As for the Mets, they had four picks in the top 100 and didn’t distinguish themselves. Two of them never reached the majors, one did but put up a negative bWAR and the highlight was reliever Bobby Keppel, who amassed a 0.3 lifetime bWAR.

Now let’s look at the picks in descending bWAR order:

Overall       bWAR  
15 Phillies Y Chase Utley 65.4 4Yr
1 Marlins Y Adrian Gonzalez 42.7 HS
29 Braves via Diamondbacks Y *Adam Wainwright 39.3 HS
75 Expos Y Grady Sizemore 27.2 HS
38 Braves Y *Kelly Johnson 17.8 HS
89 Pirates Y Chris Young 17.6 4Yr
6 Devil Rays Y Rocco Baldelli 10.2 HS
67 Astros Y Chad Qualls 6.3 4Yr
19 Pirates Y Sean Burnett 6.1 HS
57 Dodgers Y Joel Hanrahan 4.7 HS
82 White Sox Y Mike Morse 4 HS
62 Red Sox Y Manny Delcarmen 3.9 HS
49 Padres Y Xavier Nady 3.8 4Yr
78 Tigers Y Nook Logan 3 JC
31 Twins N *Aaron Heilman 1.8 4Yr
33 Blue Jays Y *Dustin McGowan 1.8 HS
53 Cardinals Y Chris Narveson 0.6 HS
34 Reds Y *Dustin Moseley 0.5 HS
61 Giants Y Lance Niekro 0.4 4Yr
80 Angels Y Tommy Murphy 0.4 4Yr
36 Mets Y *Bobby Keppel 0.3 HS
43 Cubs Y Bobby Hill 0.3  
55 Indians via Phillies Y *Brian Tallet 0.3 4Yr
100 Braves Y Blaine Boyer 0.3 HS
11 Brewers Y Dave Krynzel 0.2 HS
37 Indians Y *Derek Thompson 0.2 HS
56 Rangers via Mariners Y *Jason Bourgeois 0 HS
69 Diamondbacks Y Mike Schultz 0 4Yr
35 Rangers N *Tyrell Godwin -0.1 4Yr
44 Royals Y Mike Tonis -0.1 4Yr
63 Reds Y Ryan Snare -0.2 4Yr
99 Diamondbacks Y Bill White -0.4 4Yr
21 Giants Y Boof Bonser -0.5 HS
54 Twins via Orioles Y *J.D. Durbin -0.5 HS
16 Mets via Mariners Y *Billy Traber -0.7 4Yr
17 Dodgers Y Ben Diggins -0.7 4Yr
30 Braves Y Scott Thorman -1 HS
46 Reds via Devil Rays Y *Dane Sardinha -1 4Yr
47 Rockies Y Jason Young -1 4Yr
2 Twins Y Adam Johnson -1.1 4Yr
3 Cubs Y Luis Montanez -1.2 HS
52 White Sox Y Tim Hummel -1.3 4Yr
60 Athletics Y Freddie Bynum -1.3 JC
5 Expos Y Justin Wayne -1.5 4Yr
12 White Sox Y Joe Borchard -1.5 4Yr
20 Angels via Athletics Y *Chris Bootcheck -1.5 4Yr
22 Red Sox Y Phil Dumatrait -1.8 JC
4 Royals Y Mike Stodolka   HS
7 Rockies N Matt Harrington   HS
8 Tigers Y Matt Wheatland   HS
9 Padres Y Mark Phillips   HS
10 Angels Y Joe Torres   HS
13 Cardinals Y Shaun Boyd   HS
14 Orioles Y Beau Hale   4Yr
18 Blue Jays Y Miguel Negron   HS
23 Reds Y David Espinosa   HS
24 Cardinals via Rangers Y *Blake Williams   4Yr
25 Rangers via Mets Y *Scott Heard   HS
26 Indians Y Corey Smith   HS
27 Astros Y Rob Stiehl   JC
28 Yankees Y Dave Parrish   4Yr
32 Orioles Y *Tripper Johnson   HS
39 Rangers Y *Chad Hawkins   4Yr
40 Braves Y *Aaron Herr   HS
41 Marlins Y Jason Stokes   HS
42 Twins Y Tagg Bozied   4Yr
45 Blue Jays via Expos Y *Peter Bauer   4Yr
48 Tigers Y Chad Petty   HS
50 Angels Y Jared Abruzzo   HS
51 Braves via Brewers Y *Bubba Nelson   HS
58 Blue Jays Y Dominic Rich   4Yr
59 Pirates Y David Beigh   HS
64 Rangers Y Randy Truselo   HS
65 Mets Y Matt Peterson   HS
66 Indians Y Mark Folsom   HS
68 Yankees Y Danny Borrell   4Yr
70 Braves Y Bryan Digby   HS
71 Marlins Y Rob Henkel   4Yr
72 Twins Y Colby Miller   HS
73 Cubs Y Aaron Krawiec   4Yr
74 Royals Y Scott Walter   4Yr
76 Cubs via Devil Rays Y *Nic Jackson   4Yr
77 Rockies Y Chris Buglovsky   4Yr
79 Padres Y Omar Falcon   HS
81 Brewers Y Dane Artman   HS
83 Cardinals Y Chase Voshell   4Yr
84 Orioles Y Richard Bartlett   HS
85 Phillies Y Keith Bucktrot   HS
86 Orioles via Mariners Y *Tommy Arko   HS
87 Dodgers Y Jeff Tibbs   HS
88 Blue Jays Y Morrin Davis   HS
90 Athletics Y Daylan Holt   4Yr
91 Giants Y Brion Treadway   4Yr
92 Red Sox Y Matt Cooper   HS
93 Reds Y Dave Gil   4Yr
94 Rangers Y Chris Russ   4Yr
95 Mets Y Josh Reynolds   4Yr
96 Indians Y Sean Swedlow   HS
97 Astros Y Tony Pluta   HS
98 Yankees Y Jason Grove   4Yr

Only seven players from the top 100 posted a double-digit bWAR and only 47 even reached the majors for one game. And that includes two guys (Heilman, Godwin) who did not sign with the team that drafted them in 2000.

So, there is our initial look at the draft. On first blush it doesn’t appear to be a stellar class. Let’s see if we feel the same way in a couple of weeks after we’ve had the chance to examine more years.

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