Mets360 Draft series: The 2002 MLB Draft

Today we examine our third draft. The 2000 Draft was kind of a bust and the 2001 was essentially a top-heavy affair, at least among the top 100 picks, which is the extent of our look. It appears that there was better drafting – or better players – in the first round of 2002 but still far from an ideal selection with the benefit of hindsight.

Here’s the 2002 Draft in the order the picks were actually made. Please note that all WAR references in this article are for the Baseball-Reference version of the metric.

OvPck Tm Signed Name WAR Type
1 Pirates Y Bryan Bullington (minors) -0.3 4Yr
2 Devil Rays Y Melvin Upton Jr. (minors) 16.2 HS
3 Reds Y Chris Gruler (minors)   HS
4 Orioles Y Adam Loewen (minors) -0.2 HS
5 Expos Y Clint Everts (minors)   HS
6 Royals Y Zack Greinke (minors) 60.8 HS
7 Brewers Y Prince Fielder (minors) 23.8 HS
8 Tigers Y Scott Moore (minors) -0.8 HS
9 Rockies Y Jeff Francis (minors) 9.4 4Yr
10 Rangers Y Drew Meyer (minors) -0.3 4Yr
11 Marlins Y Jeremy Hermida (minors) 2.7 HS
12 Angels Y Joe Saunders (minors) 8.8 4Yr
13 Padres Y Khalil Greene (minors) 8.4 4Yr
14 Blue Jays Y Russ Adams (minors) 0 4Yr
15 Mets Y Scott Kazmir (minors) 22.8 HS
16 Athletics via Red Sox Y *Nick Swisher (minors) 21.7 4Yr
17 Phillies Y Cole Hamels (minors) 53.9 HS
18 White Sox Y Royce Ring (minors) -0.9 4Yr
19 Dodgers Y James Loney (minors) 11.7 HS
20 Twins Y Denard Span (minors) 23.9 HS
21 Cubs Y Bobby Brownlie (minors)   4Yr
22 Indians Y Jeremy Guthrie (minors) 17.7 4Yr
23 Braves Y Jeff Francoeur (minors) 6.1 HS
24 Athletics via Yankees Y *Joe Blanton (minors) 11.6 4Yr
25 Giants Y Matt Cain (minors) 30.5 HS
26 Athletics Y John McCurdy (minors)   4Yr
27 Diamondbacks Y Sergio Santos (minors) 2.2 HS
28 Mariners N John Mayberry (minors) 0.7 HS
29 Astros Y Derick Grigsby (minors)   JC
30 Athletics via Cardinals Y *Ben Fritz (minors)   4Yr
31 Dodgers Y *Greg Miller (minors)   HS
32 Cubs Y *Luke Hagerty (minors)   4Yr
33 Indians Y *Matt Whitney (minors)   HS
34 Braves Y *Dan Meyer (minors) -0.8 4Yr
35 Athletics Y *Jeremy Brown (minors) 0.1 4Yr
36 Cubs Y *Chadd Blasko (minors)   4Yr
37 Athletics Y *Steve Obenchain (minors)   4Yr
38 Cubs Y *Matt Clanton (minors)   JC
39 Athletics Y *Mark Teahen (minors) 2.4 4Yr
40 Reds Y *Mark Schramek (minors)   4Yr
41 Indians Y *Micah Schilling (minors)   HS
42 Pirates Y Blair Johnson (minors)   HS
43 Devil Rays Y Jason Pridie (minors) 0.3 HS
44 Reds Y Joey Votto (minors) 54.8 HS
45 Orioles Y Corey Shafer (minors)   HS
46 Expos Y Darrell Rasner (minors) 0.9 4Yr
47 Royals Y Adam Donachie (minors)   HS
48 Brewers Y Josh Murray (minors)   HS
49 Tigers Y Brent Clevlen (minors) -0.1 HS
50 Rockies N Micah Owings (minors) 4 HS
51 Dodgers via Rangers Y *Zach Hammes (minors)   HS
52 Marlins Y Robert Andino (minors) 2.1 HS
53 Angels Y Kevin Jepsen (minors) 2.1 HS
54 Padres Y Michael Johnson (minors)   4Yr
55 Blue Jays Y Dave Bush (minors) 3.5 4Yr
56 Cubs via Mets Y *Brian Dopirak (minors)   HS
57 Red Sox Y Jon Lester (minors) 41.2 HS
58 Phillies Y Zack Segovia (minors) -0.4 HS
59 White Sox Y Jeremy Reed (minors) 2 4Yr
60 Dodgers Y Jonathan Broxton (minors) 8.8 HS
61 Twins Y Jesse Crain (minors) 11.8 4Yr
62 Cubs Y Justin Jones (minors)   HS
63 Indians Y Brian Slocum (minors) -0.2 4Yr
64 Braves Y Brian McCann (minors) 30.2 HS
65 Braves via Yankees N *Tyler Greene (minors) -0.6 HS
66 Giants Y Fred Lewis (minors) 4.3 4Yr
67 Athletics Y Steve Stanley (minors)   4Yr
68 Diamondbacks Y Chris Snyder (minors) 4.5 4Yr
69 Mariners Y Josh Womack (minors)   HS
70 Astros Y Mitch Talbot (minors) -0.7 HS
71 Yankees via Cardinals Y *Brandon Weeden (minors)   HS
72 Indians Y *Pat Osborn (minors)   4Yr
73 Pirates Y Taber Lee (minors)   4Yr
74 Devil Rays Y Elijah Dukes (minors) 1.9 HS
75 Reds Y Kyle Edens (minors)   4Yr
76 Orioles Y Val Majewski (minors) -0.1 4Yr
77 Expos Y Larry Broadway (minors)   4Yr
78 Royals Y Dave Jensen (minors)   4Yr
79 Brewers Y Eric Thomas (minors)   4Yr
80 Tigers Y Curtis Granderson (minors) 45.8 4Yr
81 Rockies Y Ben Crockett (minors)   4Yr
82 Indians via Rangers Y *Jason Cooper (minors)   4Yr
83 Marlins Y Trevor Hutchinson (minors)   4Yr
84 Angels Y Kyle Pawelczyk (minors)   JC
85 Padres Y Kennard Jones (minors)   4Yr
86 Blue Jays Y Justin Maureau (minors)   4Yr
87 Tigers via Mets Y *Matt Pender (minors)   4Yr
88 Red Sox Y Scott White (minors)   HS
89 Phillies Y Kiel Fisher (minors)   HS
90 White Sox Y Josh Rupe (minors) 0.7 JC
91 Dodgers Y Mike Nixon (minors)   HS
92 Twins N Mark Sauls (minors)   HS
93 Cubs Y Billy Petrick (minors) -0.2 HS
94 Indians Y Dan Cevette (minors)   HS
95 Braves Y Charlie Morton (minors) -1 HS
96 Cubs via Yankees Y *Matt Craig (minors)   4Yr
97 Giants Y Daniel Ortmeier (minors) -0.7 4Yr
98 Athletics Y Bill Murphy (minors) 0.2 4Yr
99 Diamondbacks Y Jared Doyle (minors)   4Yr
100 Mariners N Eddy Martinez-Esteve (minors)   HS

Upton was considered the top talent in the draft but Bullington was considered an easier sign, so he went first overall. Upton was grabbed second and while he did not have the career that was expected, he’s been a positive producer, which is more than you can say for the next three picks. But from Greinke at sixth overall to Cain at 25, the overwhelming majority of picks made the majors and contributed. Only one player in this span didn’t reach the show and of the rest, only three finished with a negative WAR. That’s a huge step forward from what we witnessed with the first two drafts.

After the first round, there were a handful of strong performers selected in the top 100, including Votto at #44 overall, who’s put up the second-highest WAR total to date of our 2002 draftees. Lester, McCann and Granderson each topped 30 WAR, making them terrific picks beyond the first round.

As for the Mets, they only had one selection among the top 100 but made it count by selecting Kazmir, who amassed the 10th-highest WAR so far among the top 100 picks. The Mets picked him 15th . Two other picks in the top 100 that were originally scheduled to belong to the Mets went elsewhere. The 56th overall pick went to the Cubs, as compensation for the Mets signing David Weathers while the 87th overall pick went to the Tigers as the cost for signing Roger Cedeno. Neither of the picks made by the clubs made the majors.

Here were the picks ordered by most WAR

OvPck Tm Signed Name WAR Type
6 Royals Y Zack Greinke (minors) 60.8 HS
44 Reds Y Joey Votto (minors) 54.8 HS
17 Phillies Y Cole Hamels (minors) 53.9 HS
80 Tigers Y Curtis Granderson (minors) 45.8 4Yr
57 Red Sox Y Jon Lester (minors) 41.2 HS
25 Giants Y Matt Cain (minors) 30.5 HS
64 Braves Y Brian McCann (minors) 30.2 HS
20 Twins Y Denard Span (minors) 23.9 HS
7 Brewers Y Prince Fielder (minors) 23.8 HS
15 Mets Y Scott Kazmir (minors) 22.8 HS
16 Athletics via Red Sox Y *Nick Swisher (minors) 21.7 4Yr
22 Indians Y Jeremy Guthrie (minors) 17.7 4Yr
2 Devil Rays Y Melvin Upton Jr. (minors) 16.2 HS
61 Twins Y Jesse Crain (minors) 11.8 4Yr
19 Dodgers Y James Loney (minors) 11.7 HS
24 Athletics via Yankees Y *Joe Blanton (minors) 11.6 4Yr
9 Rockies Y Jeff Francis (minors) 9.4 4Yr
12 Angels Y Joe Saunders (minors) 8.8 4Yr
60 Dodgers Y Jonathan Broxton (minors) 8.8 HS
13 Padres Y Khalil Greene (minors) 8.4 4Yr
23 Braves Y Jeff Francoeur (minors) 6.1 HS
68 Diamondbacks Y Chris Snyder (minors) 4.5 4Yr
66 Giants Y Fred Lewis (minors) 4.3 4Yr
50 Rockies N Micah Owings (minors) 4 HS
55 Blue Jays Y Dave Bush (minors) 3.5 4Yr
11 Marlins Y Jeremy Hermida (minors) 2.7 HS
39 Athletics Y *Mark Teahen (minors) 2.4 4Yr
27 Diamondbacks Y Sergio Santos (minors) 2.2 HS
52 Marlins Y Robert Andino (minors) 2.1 HS
53 Angels Y Kevin Jepsen (minors) 2.1 HS
59 White Sox Y Jeremy Reed (minors) 2 4Yr
74 Devil Rays Y Elijah Dukes (minors) 1.9 HS
46 Expos Y Darrell Rasner (minors) 0.9 4Yr
28 Mariners N John Mayberry (minors) 0.7 HS
90 White Sox Y Josh Rupe (minors) 0.7 JC
43 Devil Rays Y Jason Pridie (minors) 0.3 HS
98 Athletics Y Bill Murphy (minors) 0.2 4Yr
35 Athletics Y *Jeremy Brown (minors) 0.1 4Yr
14 Blue Jays Y Russ Adams (minors) 0 4Yr
49 Tigers Y Brent Clevlen (minors) -0.1 HS
76 Orioles Y Val Majewski (minors) -0.1 4Yr
4 Orioles Y Adam Loewen (minors) -0.2 HS
63 Indians Y Brian Slocum (minors) -0.2 4Yr
93 Cubs Y Billy Petrick (minors) -0.2 HS
1 Pirates Y Bryan Bullington (minors) -0.3 4Yr
10 Rangers Y Drew Meyer (minors) -0.3 4Yr
58 Phillies Y Zack Segovia (minors) -0.4 HS
65 Braves via Yankees N *Tyler Greene (minors) -0.6 HS
70 Astros Y Mitch Talbot (minors) -0.7 HS
97 Giants Y Daniel Ortmeier (minors) -0.7 4Yr
8 Tigers Y Scott Moore (minors) -0.8 HS
34 Braves Y *Dan Meyer (minors) -0.8 4Yr
18 White Sox Y Royce Ring (minors) -0.9 4Yr
95 Braves Y Charlie Morton (minors) -1 HS
3 Reds Y Chris Gruler (minors)   HS
5 Expos Y Clint Everts (minors)   HS
21 Cubs Y Bobby Brownlie (minors)   4Yr
26 Athletics Y John McCurdy (minors)   4Yr
29 Astros Y Derick Grigsby (minors)   JC
30 Athletics via Cardinals Y *Ben Fritz (minors)   4Yr
31 Dodgers Y *Greg Miller (minors)   HS
32 Cubs Y *Luke Hagerty (minors)   4Yr
33 Indians Y *Matt Whitney (minors)   HS
36 Cubs Y *Chadd Blasko (minors)   4Yr
37 Athletics Y *Steve Obenchain (minors)   4Yr
38 Cubs Y *Matt Clanton (minors)   JC
40 Reds Y *Mark Schramek (minors)   4Yr
41 Indians Y *Micah Schilling (minors)   HS
42 Pirates Y Blair Johnson (minors)   HS
45 Orioles Y Corey Shafer (minors)   HS
47 Royals Y Adam Donachie (minors)   HS
48 Brewers Y Josh Murray (minors)   HS
51 Dodgers via Rangers Y *Zach Hammes (minors)   HS
54 Padres Y Michael Johnson (minors)   4Yr
56 Cubs via Mets Y *Brian Dopirak (minors)   HS
62 Cubs Y Justin Jones (minors)   HS
67 Athletics Y Steve Stanley (minors)   4Yr
69 Mariners Y Josh Womack (minors)   HS
71 Yankees via Cardinals Y *Brandon Weeden (minors)   HS
72 Indians Y *Pat Osborn (minors)   4Yr
73 Pirates Y Taber Lee (minors)   4Yr
75 Reds Y Kyle Edens (minors)   4Yr
77 Expos Y Larry Broadway (minors)   4Yr
78 Royals Y Dave Jensen (minors)   4Yr
79 Brewers Y Eric Thomas (minors)   4Yr
81 Rockies Y Ben Crockett (minors)   4Yr
82 Indians via Rangers Y *Jason Cooper (minors)   4Yr
83 Marlins Y Trevor Hutchinson (minors)   4Yr
84 Angels Y Kyle Pawelczyk (minors)   JC
85 Padres Y Kennard Jones (minors)   4Yr
86 Blue Jays Y Justin Maureau (minors)   4Yr
87 Tigers via Mets Y *Matt Pender (minors)   4Yr
88 Red Sox Y Scott White (minors)   HS
89 Phillies Y Kiel Fisher (minors)   HS
91 Dodgers Y Mike Nixon (minors)   HS
92 Twins N Mark Sauls (minors)   HS
94 Indians Y Dan Cevette (minors)   HS
96 Cubs via Yankees Y *Matt Craig (minors)   4Yr
99 Diamondbacks Y Jared Doyle (minors)   4Yr
100 Mariners N Eddy Martinez-Esteve (minors)   HS

So far, 38 of the top 100 players selected have contributed a positive WAR, while 54 have reached the majors. Those numbers were 41 and 53, respectively, for the 2001 Draft. In the 2000 edition the respective numbers were 26 and 47. While fewer players from the top 100 drafted in 2002 contributed a positive WAR than the previous year of the draft, we see 16 had a double-digit contribution in ’02, compared to just 10 in ’01 and only 7 in the ’00 top 100.

Is this the beginning of a trend or just an outlier? Stay tuned as we examine the 2003 Draft next.

Editor’s Note – Before leaving a comment for this story, make sure you have read our new comment policy.

2 comments for “Mets360 Draft series: The 2002 MLB Draft

  1. José
    January 19, 2018 at 10:36 am

    What’s interesting is that this draft was covered in great detail in “Moneyball” by Michael Lewis. It appears that Billy Beane, despite having numerous picks in the upper rounds, didn’t fare too well.

    • January 19, 2018 at 1:07 pm

      Thanks for pointing that out.

      One thing I’ve got on the list of things to do is go back and look at all of the teams that had five or more draft picks among the top 100 and see how they did. It’s always a big thing when it happens but it seems like there are twice as many disappointments (like the ’02 A’s) than home runs.

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