Poll: Over/Under on Mets’ predicted wins

Currently, the Mets are 20-18 and FanGraphs’ MLB Playoff Odds projects them to finish the season with 82.8 Wins and a 28% chance of making the playoffs.

After starting the season 11-1, the Mets are 9-17 in their last 26 games. After opening the month of May with a six-game home losing streak, the Mets are 3-3 in their last six games. Have they bottomed out and on the way back up? Or is this .500 play what we should expect the rest of the year?

If the Over/Under was set at 82.8 Wins, how would you wager?

  • Over (70%, 23 Votes)
  • Under (30%, 10 Votes)

Total Voters: 33

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10 comments for “Poll: Over/Under on Mets’ predicted wins

  1. May 16, 2018 at 9:21 am

    I have just one word for expectations. Pitching. Not enough starters. Not enough quality starters. Teams are just going to out wait Thor and his extraordinary 5 innings of work. Which leaves us with deGrom to carry the burden. Do you expect Wheeler or Matz to give you consistent good starts over an extended period? Can Vargas actually show he belongs on a major league roster? Endless questions while Philadelphia and Atlanta have no pressure to succeed since expectations were not as high as in New York.

  2. May 16, 2018 at 9:48 am

    I voted the over.

    I’m encouraged by the results of the pitching staff since Mesoraco came over. The opponents have only scored 9 runs in four games in his starts with the Mets. I guess the real test will be when he catches Vargas.

    With an off day tomorrow – I hope Mesoraco is back in there today, even with a day game after a night game.

    • Mike Walczak
      May 16, 2018 at 9:55 am

      Vargas is throwing his fastball 10% more this year than last year and his changeup 8% less.

      He is throwing the meatball pitches. As I wrote yesterday, he should mix it up.

    • MattyMets
      May 16, 2018 at 1:07 pm

      Rotation is improving since Mesoraco, Vargas will either figure it out or be replaced by Lugo, Conforto is starting to hit and Swarzak will give the pen a boost. I still think the Nats and Cubs are better at full strength but I like our WC chances.

  3. Pete from NJ
    May 16, 2018 at 11:52 am

    92 wins if Wheeler/Matz can pitch to a 3.50 era. Let’s see if j Vargas can pitch to his projected numbers.

    If those three are below my expectatiionsexpectations: 78 wins.

  4. Pete In Iowa
    May 16, 2018 at 1:18 pm

    I voted the under based solely upon concerns with the starting pitching. It all comes down to Wheeler and Matz. While I have liked what I’ve seen from those guys their last two turns, I need to see consistency over a longer period of time from them to be convinced. If these two guys don’t pitch well, we have no chance. Simple as that.

    • Pete In Iowa
      May 16, 2018 at 5:01 pm

      Well after Wheeler’s absolute shellacking today, looks like the under is the way to go.

  5. Mike Walczak
    May 16, 2018 at 2:46 pm

    I voted under. They may be around .500 around the end of August, but the pitchers may hit innings limits in early September which could put them in a slide.

    Plus with their starters getting bombed, like Wheeler today, there will be a big strain on their bullpen.

  6. eraff
    May 16, 2018 at 4:44 pm

    Stuff…Stuff..Stuff!!!—and then the guy gets beat deep in an 0-2 count.

    J.A. happ Pitches at 89….Tanner Roarke Pitches at about 91…Zach Wheeler Throws at 96

  7. Metsense
    May 16, 2018 at 8:19 pm

    Over because of Jake and Thor.
    Bruce and Conforto should get their OPS above .800 instead of below . 700. Frazier and Cespedes should get healthy .
    Rosario should offensively improve with experience.
    The offense is underachieving and that will change. 83 wins is very doable.

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