Is Finding a Star Nothing But Luck?: Quantifying the Effectiveness of MLB Player Development

Aside from the order of where teams fall in this leaderboard, it is also fairly eye opening to see the absolute difference in Value Generated between the best and worst teams in terms of acquiring and developing players when controlling for incoming talent. While luck surely plays a significant factor in the $816M separating the Dodgers and White Sox in terms of Value Generated, it is telling that several of the organizations towards the bottom of our list have recently invested in many of the developmental tools the Dodgers and Astros have been using for years. All things considered, it is unlikely that only luck explains the differences in the values provided above and more work is needed to be done to quantify the true first mover’s advantage realized by the Dodgers and Astros.

Source: Driveline Baseball

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