Red, white and blue pins labeled “I Like Ike” have been standard fare amongst New York Mets fans these days, and for good reason. The Mets rookie first baseman has impressed early with the bat and glove.
Yes, Ike Davis certainly looks like he may have a long career as the Mets’ first baseman. But what happens with the man he has filled in for, and likely replaced?
Daniel Murphy lost the luster to his star potential after a less than stellar performance in left field early in 2009, but Murphy had earned the 2010 starting gig with above average defense, some power and an incredible work ethic.
Unfortunately for the 25-year-old, he suffered a grade 1 sprain of the MCL in his right knee in a rundown during the final week of spring training. He has been on the 15-day disabled list since March 31.
According to published reports, Murphy was running without a brace and taking ground balls laterally on April 20, but still had no timetable to return. He was swinging a bat in the cage by April 28.
The fact of that matter is Murphy will recover eventually, probably sooner than later, and he is back to being a hitter without a position. First base seemed to work well with him, and lessons from Keith Hernandez likely helped, but now that bag is covered. What can the Mets do with Murphy?
One idea that fans of the team regularly offer is send Murphy back to the minors, teach him to play second base and have him replace incumbent Luis Castillo, preferably as soon as possible. The concept is at least partially rooted in reality.
Castillo will be 35 in September and has long last much of his range in the field. The botched pop up last year, his .245 average in 2008 and $6.25 million salary don’t help his cause. On the other hand, Castillo’s salary makes him an unlikely candidate for the bench and many teams reportedly have not been interested in trading for him. Castillo has also continued hitting this year – .279 after their sweep of the Dodgers.
To add to the dilemma, middle-infield prospects Ruben Tejada and Reese Havens may end up in Flushing before long.
Another suggestion that gets floated about is to make Murphy a utility man. Again, there may be some merit in this argument. Mets officials had Murphy play at several positions during his three years in the minor league system.
In 2008 alone, he played 64 games at third base, 17 games at second base, 13 games at first base and four games in left field with Double-A Binghamton. He earned a .989 fielding percentage at first, the best of all four positions.
His work ethic helped him eventually find a temporary home at first, and he may become a serviceable defender as a corner infielder, maybe even at second or in left field with a lot of work. But when asked in mid-April, Murphy gave all the right answers about being the next Joe McEwing.
“I think eventually if I have to do so, I can play a good outfield or another position. That’s going to be something that’s always going to be up to Jerry’s discretion,” Murphy told ESPNNew York’s Adam Rubin. “It’s just more bullets in my gun. And if I’m able to play other positions, it gives the manager more flexibility. Maybe it might give me a few more at-bats.”
The numbers through his limited major league career suggest he may be comfortable with hitting infrequently, but a closer look warrants questions. Through 204 games in two years, Murphy hit .317 in 41 appearances as a pinch-hitter, .280 in 218 at-bats as a left fielder and .268 in 380 appearances as a first baseman. But the young man went through a metamorphosis last season, shedding his low-power, high on-base percentage routine for a higher-power, higher-strikeout and lower-average mentality.
His defensive struggles in the outfield may have also affected Murphy, who hit .260 in 100 appearances as a left fielder. His pinch-hitting numbers also took a hit; he had a hit in just one-quarter of his 28 at-bats.
The only other obvious answer is to trade him. The Mets have a couple of glaring needs, including a starting pitcher who can reliably go six innings or another 3rd/4th outfielder with Carlos Beltran still injured. The catch here, Murphy is still damaged goods and the Mets likely won’t get anything of value if they trade him immediately off the DL.
One way or another, he will have to get some major league playing time to prove he remembers how to handle a glove and bat.
I am a Murphy fan and I don’t think he should be permanently relegated to the bench just quite yet. Davis has a .370 BABIP and could be in for some serious regression. And even with a normal HR/FB rate, his ISO is .167, so he’s not delivering the power numbers that we would like. So that means if Davis’ AVG drops to .270 he’s got a .437 SLG and those numbers are not going to cut it at 1B.
How about we ignore all the numbers for a little bit and just pretend that he is a rookie and give him a chance to get used to major league-level ball?
Jason Heyward had a rough patch after his early start. Did that mean the Braves should have sent him down to AAA?
Ignore the numbers? That’s a silly thing to do. Ike Davis is getting an extended chance to prove whether or not he belongs in the majors. That’s all that anybody should ask for. If Davis performs well he should keep the job and if he doesn’t he should be back in Triple-A where he can play every day. It’s no shame if he’s not ready for a job in the majors after such a short apprenticeship in the high minors.
Right now, Davis’ ISO is less than what Daniel Murphy produced in 2009, when everyone thought he provided insufficient power as a 1B. It’s only 50-something ABs and Davis deserves more time to improve. But when power is supposed to be one of his top assets, to pretend it’s not an issue, even in such a small sample, is wrong.
Maybe Davis hits 3 HR this weekend or next week and everything is fine. Like I said, he deserves more time. But with the Mets hoping to contend, he is going to have to produce power at some point. And when Davis stops getting lucky on BABIP the overall numbers will not look as good as they do now.
After 5 games, Davis had a 1.061 OPS
After 10 games he had a .981 OPS
Now after 15, it’s down to .823
So, where is it going to level off at and at what point is it unacceptable?
And now it’s up to .979 courtesy of two solo jacks.
You’re never as bad as you are at your worst, nor are you as good at your best. But if he can hit well into the double digits with home runs, play more great defense and hit for a decent clip, sign me up long term!