My football team is the Vikings and they need a lot of help. Unfortunately, they are roughly $15 million over the salary cap and that’s before signing any draft picks or free agents. They’re going to have to part ways with players they’d rather keep, along with renegotiating contracts on players they will keep, just to get under the cap.
Their QB is Kirk Cousins, who is at least an average and likely an above-average player at the position. The problem is that his salary is higher than it should be, a result of an earlier extension to get under the cap in a previous year. If the Vikings keep him on the last year of his contract, his cap hit will be a whopping $45 million. If they trade him, they’ll be able to get under the cap. But no other team wants that contract, so the Vikings will likely have to eat a bunch of money. And they won’t be able to have a QB anywhere near as good.
The Vikings whole offseason has been a question of “what to do with Cousins and the salary cap?” And it stinks. Meanwhile, the Vikings are hardly alone in this situation, as each year numerous teams are faced with similar dilemmas on how to get under the cap. It’s one thing to have a budget. It’s another thing entirely to have the money to spend and a willingness to spend it yet being kept from that because of a salary cap.
Most everyone hated the Wilpons because they wouldn’t spend due to the Madoff fiasco. But as their financial picture improved, they spent more money. At the height of the uncertainty with how the Madoff clawback suits would unfold, the Mets’ Opening Day payroll was under $85 million and ranked 25th in the majors in 2014. In their last full season as owners, their payroll was 8th in the majors. Perhaps lower than it should have been yet substantially better than what it was six years earlier.
The Mets under Wilpon ownership operated with a budget. We didn’t like the budget but there was a reason spending wasn’t as high in 2014 as it was either a few years before or a few years after. Maybe you didn’t like the reason, or thought that it shouldn’t have resulted in cuts as deep as they were. But at least it wasn’t a league-wide artificial impediment created to limit how much players could make.
Players have fought tooth and nail to keep a salary cap from being introduced into baseball. But with the Competitive Balance Tax (CBT) they essentially have one anyway. Steve Cohen has been a breath of fresh air with his willingness to spend beyond the CBT and pay the tax. But there are only a handful of clubs willing to do that. Even the Yankees aim to stay below the CBT these days.
Since the CBT acts more like a salary cap and less like an inducement to achieve competitive balance, it’s why the players are insisting on a significant raise to the tax threshold. And at least four owners are dug in just as tightly in their resolve to keep it as low as possible. It’s important to note that the Rays are not one of the four clubs.
The Rays have won 90 or more games in the last three full season and in the Covid year of 2020, they won 40 games, a pace that would have produced 108 wins over a full season. The Rays have done this while operating one of the lowest – if not the lowest – payrolls in the game. They’re not scared of competing in a freer market like the owners of the Angels, Diamondbacks, Reds and Tigers are.
It seems like the owners want guaranteed profits at any cost. But since we know every facet of every player’s contract but have extremely limited information on the same thing from owners, it’s hard to know if owners are raking it in or barely surviving. It’s clear they’re not losing money year after year. If that was the case – they would sell their team and get into a more financially rewarding endeavor. No team is currently for sale.
My opinion is that salary caps stink. But I’m equally upset with fat-cat owners who continually cry poor yet fail to open their books so we can accurately see how much money they make or lose in a normal year.
So, here’s my proposal.
Teams sign players to contracts just like normal. At the end of the year, independent auditors determine how much revenue a team took in. That revenue gets split 50-50 with the players. If the salaries that the team paid out was less than 50% of the team’s revenue, the players get the extra money, given out on a proportional basis. If Max Scherzer makes 20% of the team’s salary expenditure, he would get 20% of the extra money that players would get paid at the end of the year. And the opposite would be true, too. If the Mets’ salaries exceeded half of the club’s revenue, Scherzer would have to give back 20% of the total to make the Mets whole.
This solution comes with no cap that prevents a team from keeping a player that it really wants. And if owners are really losing money in any season, this gives them protection from taking a beating, as the players will share in the loss. It gives a reason for the players and owners to work together to grow the game, as the bottom line for both would be tied at the hip.
But the owners would never agree to any system like this because what they have now is so much better for their bottom line.
We have somewhat good financial information for the Braves, whose parent company is publicly traded and therefore has to disclose information that the other teams do not. In a very good year that ended in a World Series win, the Braves reported revenue of $568 million. Their year-end, 40-man payroll was $148.5 million. Half of $568 million is $284 million. So, the Braves would owe the players $135.5 million.
In 2020, a very bad year due to Covid, the Braves’ revenue was $178 million. Their year-end, 40-man payroll was $62.9 million. Half of their revenue would be $89 million so they would owe the players $17.1 million after the season was over. The Braves were middle of the pack – 14th in year-end salaries paid in both 2020 and 2021
Perhaps you’re thinking that a 50% split of revenue is too high. Well, that’s essentially the split in the NBA and in the NFL, players get 55% of the revenue and in the NHL, players get roughly 57%.
At the end of the day, MLB owners have it better than owners in any of the other major sports and they’re still not happy. If the owners accepted the player’s CBT proposals, and each team actually spent to that level, their expenditures on player salaries would still be below 50% of revenue.
Not making money as an MLB owner? Cry me a river.
In 2021 the CBT threshold was $210M . One team exceeded the threshold and seven teams had a luxury tax payroll of $202+M so they didn’t have to pay. The CBT is a soft salary cap and it should be renamed the Soft Salary Penalty (SSP).
The owners offered at $220M and floated the idea of draft penalties if CBT is exceeded. They also would eliminate the qualifying offer.
The players want $238M and increases in each year. The qualifying offer the be eliminated but the ideas of draft penalties, starting after 2023, is on the table if the CBT is exceeded.
I think there is enough room to settle this issue.
Personally the CBT does stink but the owners don’t want to share books so the players are forced to accept the parameters of the existing contract and fight the hell to get everything change and dollar they can.
I don’t think salary caps stink. I am not campaigning for a salary cap in baseball, or any other sport, but I do think that they work in situations that they fit well. My football team is the Giants, and they are in salary cap hell, probably worse than the Vikings. However, they have absolutely no one to blame but themselves; poor management and overpaying free agents.
The salary cap fits the NFL quite well, the league is very competitive, and while some teams are perennial losers, there are countless rags to riches stories, most recently the Bengals. Given the relative revenue equity and non-guaranteed contracts, it allows for more mistake corrections, at least in actual spending.
I don’t have a problem with the CBT, but I do think it needs to be altered in both minimum level as well as the penalty stages. Also, the owners should add a requirement that teams receiving the allocated tax maintain a minimum payroll level. Claiming poverty, fielding a minor league team, and pocketing the CBT distribution to bank profit should tick off the other owners more than the players.
“Since the CBT acts more like a salary cap and less like an inducement to achieve competitive balance, it’s why the players are insisting on a significant raise to the tax threshold.”
I’d like to hear your rationale on why you think a salary cap doesn’t help achieve competitive balance because i certainly think it does. You could argue if the current system is actually effective, but a system where payrolls are between 50-200m is theoretically “more competitive” than a system where payrolls are between 50-250m.
The real reason players want it increased because if they want the low end guys to get raises for the minimum, then in order for not to just be a zero sum gain the cap has to be raised otherwise that money is just coming out the paychecks of the top earners, rather than from the owners pockets
I feel like I’ve answered this question more than once yet never to your satisfaction. And frankly I’m tired of trying.
Plant the goalposts for me. Tell me how you would define “competitive balance” and how you would compare it in a league with a salary cap to a league without it given the different number of teams that make the playoffs in said leagues.
There’s been nothing better for competitive balance than free agency. In the time period between the start of the LCS in 1969 and the beginning of free agency following the 1976 season – a span of eight years – the following teams made the World Series:
Reds – 4X
Orioles – 3X
A’s – 3X
Mets – 2X
Pirates, Dodgers, Red Sox, Yankees – 1X
In the following 8 years, under the exact same playoff format (except for the strike year of 1981) here’s what we have:
Yankees & Dodgers – 3X
Orioles & Phillies – 2X
Pirates, Royals, Cardinals, Brewers, Tigers and Padres – 1X
And while more teams made the playoffs since the start of free agency, you can argue that this doesn’t really show the full effect, as the Yankees and Dodgers made the Series in the first two years and the strike season. Let’s make the comparison group 1982-1989
Cardinals – 3X
A’s – 2X
Brewers, Orioles, Phillies, Tigers, Padres, Royals, Mets, Red Sox, Twins, Dodgers, Giants – 1X
In our 8-year samples, that’s 8 different teams playing in the WS before free agency to 13 different teams once free agency had been established. That’s a 63% increase in the diversity of WS teams while operating under the same playoff format.
And while it was under a different playoff format, in the 8-year span from 62-68, 8 teams made the World Series, with the Yankees, Dodgers and Cardinals each making it 3X. And we’re not going to see more diversity if we go back further because we get into the era when the Yankees made the WS nearly every year.
But I know you didn’t like WS teams when I made that comparison earlier. But it’s the quickest and easiest thing to use.
For goalposts, my personal opinion is that it’s better that superstars aren’t concentrated on a few teams but spread around and a cap helps with that. I care about talent distribution, not world series results.
A fantasy league where half the league has a budget of $50 and the other half a budget of $100 isn’t fair or fun, why would you want to see the same thing in real life? Maybe i’m too idealistic but i’d like to see an even playing field on the financial front and let winning be because of talent scouting and analytics.