It’s the first week in September and the Mets are in first place in the NL East and they are tied for the second-best record in MLB, despite having to play without their top two pitchers for long stretches of time. It’s been an unbelievably fun season, one marked with winning the great majority of series that they’ve played. Thru five-plus months of the season, the longest losing streak has been three games. It’s really remarkable.
Buck Showalter has proven to a new generation that – beyond a shadow of a doubt – it absolutely makes a difference who’s making the decisions in the dugout. There’s not a Mets fan in existence who believes the team would have the same record if Luis Rojas was still managing. Sure, they’d still be good. But not 85-49 good.
Ownership and the front office have stepped up and had a fine year, too. Not only did they bring in Showalter, they spent big bringing in four free agents who have had a positive impact both during games and in the clubhouse. Oh, and while not as heralded as the other free agents, they also brought in Adam Ottavino late in the offseason and he’s turned in an impact season out of the pen.
And whether due to good decisions or good luck – none of the players they let leave in free agency has turned in a great year. Just about no one with any sense is wishing they had Javier Baez or Michael Conforto or Aaron Loup or Marcus Stroman or Noah Syndergaard on the team here in the final month of the season.
Additionally, the Mets seemed to do a fine job with the amateur draft. Kevin Parada, their top pick, easily jumps into a spot in their top five prospects. Jett Williams, their second pick, is challenging for a spot in their top 10 list. Their next two picks – Blade Tidwell and Nick Morabito – will vie for slots in the top 20. It’s hard to imagine a better outcome initially from a draft class.
Everyone knows that the Mets have a top-heavy farm system. This draft will help greatly in giving it some depth, too. The owner has made it clear that he wants to have a productive farm system, one that regularly cranks out players for the major league team. Of course, that’s easier said than done and it won’t be accomplished overnight.
Because of that top-heavy nature, the Mets were cautious this year at the trade deadline. They refused to part with a top prospect to bring in a rental. While not what I would have done, it was certainly a very reasonable approach, one that couldn’t have been easy to adhere to, especially while competitors were improving their squads with guys that certainly would have helped the Mets.
But it’s not like the Mets stood pat. They created a new DH, bringing in a lefty and a righty to replace the previous left/right options who had underperformed. They also made an improvement to the bench, bringing in a guy with an OPS+ in the 90s to replace the guy who had an OPS+ in the 30s. Finally, while not the reliever they wanted, they got a guy with a 2.66 ERA this season and one who had a 131 ERA+ in seven years in the majors prior to 2022.
Given the self-imposed restrictions they were operating with, it was an impressive haul, one that deserved praise.
Unfortunately, things that look good on paper don’t always play out that way in real life. After a great start, the three hitters they imported have all hit the skids. Daniel Vogelbach is batting .140 with a .664 OPS in his last 54 PA. Darin Ruf has been even worse, with a .180 OPS in his last 29 PA. And Tyler Naquin is in the same bad neighborhood, with a .192 OPS. Even worse, he’s struck out 17 times in his last 32 PA, for a horrific 53.1 K%.
The Mets are operating with a sinkhole at catcher and offensive production not much better at third base. So, who do they add to the roster to try to combat these issues? They tried top prospect Brett Baty, who looked good in the batter’s box and hit a couple of homers but overall was not much of a help before he came down with an injury.
The next two moves were to bring in a pinch runner and a backup shortstop. While those two players addressed issues on the roster, no one thinks they bring anything to the table with a bat in their hand. And the Mets kind of need that ability right about now, as they’ve scored three runs or fewer in 14 of their last 22 games.
Instead of a PR and a backup SS, my preference would have been a third catcher and a RHB. The third catcher would have allowed Showalter to pinch hit earlier in the game at the spot. And the RHB would give Showalter someone besides Ruf to use. And when you’re main RHB sits with a .180 OPS – you need to have another option.
One of my criticisms of Sandy Alderson was that while his Plan A was usually one that made sense, he had virtually no ability to change on the fly if for whatever reason it didn’t work in reality. There was no Plan B.
Right now – in late August and early September – we see that Billy Eppler’s carefully constructed Plan A from the trade deadline isn’t really working. The three main hitters are scuffling, the reliever has a 7.07 ERA and a 1.571 WHIP, the pinch-runner has gotten into one game, which is one game more than the backup SS since his recall.
My belief is that Vogelbach and Mychal Givens will be fine. My hope is that Naquin and Ruf will be, too. But the Mets still need offensive help and have limited avenues to get that. But limited does not equal none. Sure, maybe Mark Vientos should be trusted less than J.D. Davis with a glove on his hand. But maybe he can be trusted more than James McCann or Tomas Nido in the batter’s box.
It’s time to find out.
Clear eyed and well penned.
Just the facts plain and simple.
Thanks for the kind words!
You could have just written the title of this entry and we all could have filled in the rest. What we did not get at the deadline was an impact player like we did with Cepedes in 2015. He made everyone better, because after he exploded onto the scene, opposing pitchers had to worry about every at bat and therefore needed to throw more hittable pictures to those batters surrounding him. Daniel Murphy was a prime recipient of better pitches to hit and he made the most of many of his swings, even if he was a terrible fielder. Uribe and Johnson came aboard as bench players not platoon starters. Players have slumps but if Vogelbach and Ruf don’t come out of theirs, and if our catchers don’t start at least hitting their weight, this storybook season, that arrived ahead of Cohen’s rebuild schedule, may not end up as we hope it will. It’s time to bear down and beat up on these sub .500 teams and put the pressure back on the Braves to win to keep up. It’s still one day at a time but it’s crunch time and winning the division is an easier route to moving deeper into the playoffs. Cookie for the series win today. LGM
I get the impression that with the eventual return/addition of Gillourme & Megill, that bodies will be sent down; and that would be the recent BP arm & PR. I didn’t realize how bad Naquin has been, so he should go and I would bring back Janckowski. Vientos; although not eligible for post season play, should also be brought up. I also think that a third catcher is warranted for the reasons you stated.
So no thoughts about Dom Smith; or has that ship sailed?
Postseason eligibility rule – “any player who is on the 40-man roster or 60-day injured list as of 11:59 p.m. ET on Aug. 31 is eligible for the postseason.”
https://www.mlb.com/glossary/transactions/postseason-roster-rules-eligibility
Vientos was added to the 40-man prior to the start of this season, so he would be eligible, even if he didn’t play a single game in the majors this year.
As for Smith, I could see a case for releasing Naquin and adding him – but it’s not something I’d do at this point. Three weeks from now, if Naquin is still striking out half the time, maybe I’ll change my mind.
Showalter makes a difference. The team plays focused and smart because of him.
Eppler did a great job this the past off season.
I won’t miss the other free agent that went away. The didn’t make the playoffs since 2016. The roster was stale.
Pre-trade deadline they opportunities to look at Vientos, Baty and Alvarez as temporary call-ups. I didn’t agree with that philosophy. The MLB experience with be valuable and have influenced the trading deadline trades and the September call ups.
I did agree with the trade line deals and because they were thought out. Many haven’t work out though.
Vientos and Perez should have been the September call ups.
It is a great year but there’s still work to be done; namely winning the division.