Both prior to and at the 2024 trade deadline, the Mets picked up some players to sure up some troubled areas. They focused on a left-handed bat, a middle of the rotation starter and some established bullpen pieces. What many of us wanted was the addition of a game changer, like the trade that brought Yoenis Cespedes in 2015. We didn’t get it.
It seems that none of the Mets360 contributors wanted to decimate the farm system by trading any significant prospects for 2024 rental players since the Mets were not a player or two away from being a serious contender. Back in 2015, while not considered that strong a playoff contender, they went out and snagged some low cost well-established veteran bench players and of course Cespedes, who immediately propelled them forward and seemed to make hitting contagious. The cost for Cespedes was significant at the time as they sent promising and highly rated prospect Michael Fulmer to the Tigers in the deal. With hindsight being 20-20, we could not have known that Fulmer would never fulfill his promise and currently has a career 37-50 record, a 3.94 ERA.
While none of us are privy to the wheeling and dealings at the 2024 trade deadline, it seems the status of the starting rotation begged for a more significant acquisition, especially in light of losing Kodai Senga, again. The Mets could have made a better play for rental pieces Jack Flaherty from the Tigers, Blake Snell or Alex Cobb of the from the Giants, or Michael Lorenzen from the Rangers given how well team had played in June and July.
The additions to the roster included Jesse Winker and a slew of pitchers – starter Paul Blackburn and relievers Phil Maton, Ryne Stanek, Huascar Brazoban and Tyler Zuber, Matt Gage and Alex Young. On the plus side it appears that they essentially gave up nothing of value to add these players. Of course, they often say “you get what you pay for,” so we should not be surprised by how these new additions worked out. Here is how the new players have done and my totally biased short-term grades.
Jesse Winker, OF
Winker became a cult villain back in 2019 when he drew fan’s ire for once waiving to them after hitting a go-ahead home run and another time when he teased the fans after a game-ending catch. A Buffalo, NY native, Winker was their biggest acquisition ahead of the trade deadline as he came over from the Nationals with a slash line of .267/.392/.448 to go along with 10 HR and 36 RBI, and 43 runs. The expectation was that he would bring his dependable left-handed bat to the third outfield position and also give a boost to the DH role.
Winker started out going 2-for-6 with a walk in his first few games and looked like a sharp pickup. Through 8/18/2024 Winker has appeared in 15 games with 14 hits in 48 at bats. He is batting .292 with an anemic OPS of .653, with no homeruns, just five RBI and just two walks. Has he been a better player than DJ Stewart with his horrible .172 batting average and .624 OPS? Absolutely. Did they expect a little more production from him? Absolutely. I’d give Winker a grade of B-.
Paul Blackburn, RHP
Perhaps the most important pick up, in the face of losing ace Kodai Senga for the rest of the season, was little known Blackburn. Although considered a solid piece of the A’s rotation for the last three seasons, Blackburn, who throws in the low 90’s and strikes out less than one batter per inning, induces a lot of ground balls and does not walk many batters. On the surface that seemed like just what the doctor ordered, given their other starters propensity to issue frequent free passes.
Blackburn started strong throwing six innings of six hit one run ball against the Angels, and has pitched six innings in three of his four starts, with the Mets winning three times. They should have given him more support this past Sunday against the Marlins where he mastered the Fish for six strong innings. He has been a great addition, is under control through 2025, and projects as a solid #3 or #4 for next season. Blackburn earns a solid B.
Huascar Brazoban, RHP
There are some analysts who believed the biggest pickup at the deadline was reliever Brazoban who they snagged from the Marlins. He throws mostly off speed stuff, came here with a 2.93 ERA and a little more than a strikeout per inning while with the Marlins. He throws in the upper 90’s and has four different pitches that he can throw for strikes and has the ability to throw multiple innings in an outing.
Brazoban has pitched eight innings over seven appearances, given up seven hits and five earned runs. While on the surface it might look like his assortment of pitches is not exactly fooling anyone, he was perfect in his first three outings totaling nearly six innings, but not so good in his last two outings which really ballooned his ERA from 3.16 to his current ugly 5.63 mark. I’d give Brazoban a C- after his last two outings.
Phil Maton, RHP
The Mets picked up Maton from the Rays with the expectation that he would be an upgrade over some of the existing right-handed bullpen pieces. Now with his fifth MLB team, Maton brought with him a career ERA over 4.20, good movement with his pitches and the ability to strike out more than a batter an inning despite a fastball that averages just short of 91 MPH. He also had prior playoff experience with the Astros.
Maton has thrown 14.2 innings over 15 games, pitching to a nifty 1.84 ERA. As advertised he can strike out batters despite a lack of speed on his fastball and has issued only four walks. He is not flashy but gets the job done. Oddly, despite doing a decent job in relief, he has pitched in five consecutive losses. I’d give Maton a B for doing what was expected of him.
Ryne Stanek, RHP
Stanek is hard thrower with an average velocity of 97.9 MPH who is also making the Mets his fifth MLB stop. He brought with him a career ERA of close to 3.70 and prior playoff experience with the Astros. Stanek has thrown six innings over seven appearances so far with an ungodly ERA of 10.50 mostly brought about by four earned runs he gave up to the Mariners in a blowout loss on August 11. Nine hits and six walks in six innings is not a good look and he’s given up two long balls. It is not a surprise he is playing for his fifth team and I’d expect him to find team number six for 2025. I’d give Stanek a D thus far despite two okay innings in his last few outings.
Tyler Zuber, RHP
To demonstrate how bad the Mets bullpen was, the Mets took a shot at this journeyman who needed to jump out and spend some time in 2024 with the independent league Long land Ducks. What made him attractive was his 18 games for AAA Durham affiliate where he posted a 2.49 ERA with 29 Ks in 21 innings.
As expected, Zuber was moved to Mets AAA affiliate in Syracuse and there is not much to say about this 29-year-old underachiever. He is controllable through 2025 with multiple minor league options remaining and projects to maybe helping the team in 2025. Zuber gets an incomplete and it will be no surprise if he finds himself playing somewhere else next season.
Matt Gage, LHP
Gage came over from the Dodgers earlier in July, and is also a NY native, growing up about an hour north of Cooperstown, NY. With available options, Gage was sent to AAA, but was projected to join the big club at some point. Gage was sent to AAA Syracuse in what is his second stint with the team (he was briefly in the Mets minors in 2018). Despite some bad minor league stats, there is potential from his two stops at the big league level, first with Toronto and then with Houston, where Gage pitched to a sub two ERA and has shown promise. Gage earns an incomplete thus far with the hopes that he can help the team next season.
Alex Young, LHP
The Giants acquired Young from the Reds and immediately tried to pass him through waivers. It didn’t work, as the Mets claimed him and have since made him a central part of their bullpen. Young, now with his sixth MLB team, started out throwing 4 2/3 shutout innings and there was hope that he would be a significant left-hander in the bullpen.
Young has now thrown seven innings over seven appearances, pitching to a tiny 1.29 ERA. While he has appeared in five straight losing games, none were his fault as he gave up just one hit and three walks in four of the five with the only blemish being a rough outing against the Rockies, where he walked two and gave up two hits and a run. Young gets an A- for essentially doing what was asked of him.
While we all hoped the Mets would have done better in the three weeks since the trade deadline, it seems that is not the fault of Winker, Blackburn, Maton and Young, who have done better than those they replaced. And while it is reasonable that the Mets could have moved some highly rated prospect for more significant pitching help, that’s not what Stearns chose to do. 2025 brings us all to the end of Steve Cohen’s 3-5 year plan to deliver on a championship in Flushing. Looks like he might need an extension.
Think you’re spot on with your comment and grades, Steve.
Overall, I’d give Stearns a B- for the additions.
FWIW – I would have been fine paying the cost for a top-flight SP, specifically Tarik Skubal or Blake Snell. And they would have had to “decimate” the farm system for Skubal or picked up the tab for Baez.
With the injuries suffered by the Dodgers and Braves, there’s not a dominating NL team. It seems clear to me the lack of an SP1 is a major problem for the Mets. I’d feel significantly better with Skubal/Snell at the top of the rotation.
Cespedes wasn’t Alderson first pick, Gomez was. Sandy was lucky. His other trade deadline deals were astute.
I would reserve a decision with Winker. Winker should get some more time to increase his OPS. Ideally he will force a platoon with Marte. Right now, him and Marte should split playing time and see how it shakes out.
Blackburn has pitched well and he is an upgrade to Megill. He is just a back end rotation pitcher. He solidified the rotation.
Brazoban has given up earn runs in three of his seven appearances. That is not efficient. I thought he would be better. Maybe it’s just a slump.
Maton was a good pickup. He is efficient and gets the job done.
Stanek would be my the last option in the bullpen. He issues too many walks. Five appearances resulted in zero earned runs. There is hope but he has to get more command with this pitches.
Cespedes was actually Alderson’s 4th choice (he preferred Jay Bruce, his personal obsession), and even that came down to the wire as Alderson was waffling so much he threw the vote to the seven people in the room at the time, including himself, and shortly before midnight Mets exec staff voted 4 to 3 to deal Fulmer+ for Cespedes.
Btw, the other man in the mix was Gerardo Parra.
The 2015 Mets and the 2024 Mets are two different planes. The 2015 Mets had Matz, Wheeler, Harvey, DeGrom, and Syndergaard. The 2024 Mets can’t hold a candle to that rotation. The 2015 Mets had Flores, Wright, Granderson having a great year, Duda (that hurt to say), Murphy, and a hole in LF. We knew Wright was coming back and Uribe was holding the seat warm. The 2024 Mets have Granderson=Lindor, Murphy>Alonso, Flores=Vientos, Cespedes>>>Nimmo… you get the idea. Going all in for it this year would have been a mistake the size of trading for .224 hitting Javier Baez after JDG gets hurt.
Agree, in general. If Snell had been available in a Giants’ salary dump I would have had no objections to spending $22m in Cohen’s money plus the risk Snell would opt in for 2025 at $32m, but bt the Mets having a very old nucleus (only Alonso at 29 is under 30; Alvarez has yet to prove he’s more than a competent, one to two-win C, and Vientos has been a terrific hitter for all of half a season) and needing to get under the LT threshold in 2025 (no one really expects Cohen to pay 110%+ penalties for the rest of time), dealing prospects from a mid-tier farm system that most outlets have at around 16 of 30 MLB teams for a marginal contender playing over its head and headed into one of the rougher stretches of any contender, didn’t make a lot of sense.
Add to that even the hope that Senga would be back and effective wasn’t likely to compensate for a rotation headed by three starters in their 30s all with durability issues in recent years, a completely uncertain bullpen, and a lineup playing significantly over its head. Doing some shoring up here and there made sense. The FO shows its supportive, but they don’t kid themselves.
In any case, I shudder to think what the rotation’s going to look like in the last half of September. Manaea, maybe, then Peterson, Blackburn, Megill, Butto, bullpen game…. Could be worse, but against PHIL, ATL, and MIL? I have to bet against them—and did.