On the day that the NCAA basketball tournament started, we asked readers to chime in on eight different questions about the 2014 Mets. The timing of the article may have been poor yet we still got enough responses to make looking at the results worthwhile. Before going any further, we should address some potential issues with these numbers. The first is that this was done anonymously, so there was nothing to keep someone from being a goofball and submitting crazy answers. The other issue is that there was nothing to keep someone from voting multiple times.
Having pointed out these things, I want to say that my personal belief is that neither of these happened to a large degree. All of these questions were ones that reasonable people can disagree and there was nothing in the voting patterns throughout that suggested something weird was going on. There were no massive swings in the percentages after a score of votes were recorded.
With that out of the way, let’s look at the questions and answers:
My take – The order went as expected, although there was more love for Davis and less for “someone new” than anticipated. Also, Duda polled worse than my expectations.
How worried are you about shortstop right now?
46% – Very worried
28% – Not very worried
26% – Starting to get more worried
My take – Actually pleased that “not very worried” polled as well as it did. My expectation was that it was going to be a coin flip between the other two choices and “not very worried” would be a distant third.
My take – Matsuzaka polled stronger and “someone else” polled weaker than expected. Perhaps if it explicitly said: Rafael Montero or Noah Syndergaard – it would have received more votes. My belief is that more than 2% of Mets fans thought one of the top prospects should be on the Opening Day roster.
My take – Pretty much went down as expected
What’s your biggest concern about the 2014 Mets?
50% – Shortstop
22% – First base
19% – Management
9% – Bullpen
Outfield was also a choice and received votes, but not enough to crack 1%
My take – This one surprised me. My expectation was for the first three choices above to be very close to being evenly split, with the other two being distant runners-up. Perhaps shortstop being identified as the main problem wasn’t a surprise but certainly a greater than two-to-one margin over the second choice was a big shock to me.
How many wins do you think the 2014 Mets will produce?
39% – 75-80 wins
39% – 81-85 wins
12% – Fewer than 75 wins
8% – 86-90 wins
2% – 91 or more wins
My take – Pretty much went as expected although perhaps just a touch surprised that “Fewer than 75” didn’t poll slightly better.
How happy are you with Terry Collins as the manager?
32% – He’s no better or worse than anyone else
30% – Happy but expect results this year
18% – Very unhappy
12% – Not happy but willing to give him one last shot
8% – Very happy
My take – Very surprised that “Happy but expect results this year” polled as well as it did. My expectation was that both the first and third choices listed above would have polled better and “Happy but…” would have finished third. And if you’ll permit me to be snarky for a moment – whatever error is present in this poll should be contained within the percentage that voted “Very happy.”
Does Sandy Alderson deserve an extension?
74% – Yes
26% – No
My take – This went exactly as expected.
Some things we can take away from this poll include:
- The fans love Lagares, who came in with a 92% approval rating, as judged by how many thought he should be a starter.
- Despite wildly uneven results, Mets fans still have faith in Davis and don’t trust Duda.
- While not asked specifically, it’s hard not to infer that Ruben Tejada’s fan club does not have many members right now.
- Even with all of the injuries, the fans are still optimistic about Mejia.
- While the mainstream press has been universal in its praise for Collins – 30% selected an answer that indicated they were not happy with his performance. And it’s reasonable to believe that some portion of the 32% who indicated he was no better or worse than any other manager would replace him if given a chance. With another 30% indicating that they’re happy but expect results – it’s hard not to consider Collins being on the hot seat in 2014.
Thank you to all who participated in this poll!