Several different sites are running simulations of the 2020 season. MetsBlog is publishing results from MLB The Show 2020 and the Mets in that simulation are doing quite well, 10 games above .500 after 72 games. Baseball-Reference is doing one and the results are not so great in that one. This one is being done with Out Of The Park Baseball and it has the Mets at 34-39. My preference would be to talk about the simulation where they are on a pace to win 95 or so games. But a quick look did not show me an online presence to look at the numbers. So, here are the B-R numbers:
bWAR – Pete Alonso, 2.9; Brandon Nimmo, 2.6 and Luis Guillorme, 1.7
Seems like we’ve discovered why the team is under .500 almost right away. When Guillorme is your third-best offensive player, it’s safe to say the season hasn’t gone as planned. Also troubling is that Jake Marisnick is 7th on the team with 246 PA. Meanwhile, J.D. Davis has just 89 trips to the plate and Yoenis Cespedes has but 62.
Steven Matz leads the rotation with an 8-5 record. Jacob deGrom is 6-7 and has allowed 13 HR in 100 IP. Edwin Diaz has 8 Saves and Robert Gsellman is next with 3. Seth Lugo has a 4.99 ERA while Dellin Betances checks in with a 7.30 mark.
With results like these – maybe we’re better off that no games have been played.
Here’s the stats for the simulated season.
https://www.baseball-reference.com/sim/teams/NYM/2020.shtml
Guillorme has 8 HRs. LOLOLOLOLOL.
Davis and Cespedes with sub 600 OPS.
Nothing crazy on the pitching side. With 4 starters having 3.61 ERAs or lower kinda surprised they don’t have a better record. Wacha’s been unlucky with 7 QS but just 1 win.
For those affiliates expecting to bank on Tebow financially sorry to disappoint the fake Mets released him before the start of the minor league season.
https://www.baseball-reference.com/sim/teams/NYM/2020-transactions.shtml
Sorry this simulation stuff is a joke. Rather watch reruns on SNY.
Ok, you trade Syndergaard and Wheeler for Porcello and Wacha, and you expect to have a playoff team? I’m sorry, but I hope I am wrong. I just dont see it.
Wheeler had a 3.96 ERA and Syndergaard’s was 4.28 – that’s a 102 ERA+ and a 95 ERA+. They were both very durable, league-average starters from a bottom line perspective. – Sure, you can say they pitched better than their results – and they did. But the Mets don’t have to replace what they “should” have been – they have to replace what they were. The innings were going to be harder to match than the production.
Sounds like NL pitchers will never hit again. I’m disappointed and will miss that aspect of game management (and real baseball).