Please use this thread all week to discuss any Mets-specific topic you wish.
It appears the Mets are replacing Dominic Smith and Michael Conforto with Mark Canha and Starling Marte. Here’s that quartet’s production in fWAR for 2021:
Smith – (-0.5)
Conforto – 0.8
Canha – 2.6
Marte – 5.5
Few expect Marte to repeat what he did last year but there hasn’t been a ton of speculation on what to expect from Canha. The Steamer projections are out and it forecasts a 2.9 for Marte and a 1.9 for Canha. If that’s what they do give the Mets, that’s a 4.5 upgrade from Conforto & Smith a year ago. Eduardo Escobar has a 1.8 forecast, which is a downgrade of 0.3 from what Jonathan Villar gave the Mets last season. Finally, Max Scherzer is projected to add 1.7 to what Marcus Stroman delivered in 2021. Add it up and it’s an upgrade of 5.9 wins.
Where do the other seven wins come from to get the Mets to a 90-win season?