Potential landing spots for 17 free agents in the 2017-18 class

Below we have destinations and contract terms for 17 free agents. None of us claim to be experts on the subject – some claim a lack of expertise here more vociferously than others – so the last thing you should do is use this as a betting guide. Instead this is an opportunity for us to discuss guys who will be in the news and who may or may not be linked to the Mets. It’s supposed to be a fun exercise and not dissected or graded, so please keep that in mind. Our participants are: Dalton Allison, Joe Barbieri, Scott Ferguson, John Fox, David Groveman, Brian Joura, Mike Koehler and Matt Netter.

Yu Darvish Team Years/Salary
Allison Cubs 4/$60
Barbieri Cubs 5/$125
Ferguson Phillies 6/$162
Fox Marlins 4/$80
Groveman Cubs 7/$175
Joura Phillies 5/$140
Koehler Cardinals 5/$120
Netter Braves 5/$125

J.D. Martinez Team Years/Salary
Allison Brewers 3/$50
Barbieri Rangers 4/$85
Ferguson Red Sox 5/$115
Fox D’Backs 4/$100
Groveman Red Sox 6/$130
Joura D’Backs 6/$130
Koehler Red Sox 6/$150
Netter Giants 6/$144

Eric Hosmer Team Years/Salary
Allison Red Sox 5/$88
Barbieri Red Sox 6/$115
Ferguson Royals 5/$100
Fox Royals 5/$110
Groveman Red Sox 6/$120
Joura Royals 5/$110
Koehler Royals 5/$110
Netter Red Sox 6/$132

Jake Arrieta Team Years/Salary
Allison Yankees 2/$49
Barbieri Cardinals 4/$90
Ferguson Cubs 4/$100
Fox Yankees 4/$100
Groveman Yankees 4/$105
Joura Dodgers 5/$130
Koehler Cubs 4/$80
Netter Yankees 5/$125

Mike Moustakas Team Years/Salary
Allison Mets 1/$18
Barbieri Mets 3/$55
Ferguson Angels 5/$100
Fox Giants 6/$105
Groveman Mets 4/$80
Joura Yankees 5/$95
Koehler Angels 5/$90
Netter Braves 5/$85

Lorenzo Cain Team Years/Salary
Allison Red Sox 2/$40
Barbieri Tigers 4/$65
Ferguson Rangers 4/$75
Fox Mariners 3/$60
Groveman Blue Jays 4/$60
Joura Mariners 3/$51
Koehler Giants 5/$85
Netter Cubs 4/$68

Wade Davis Team Years/Salary
Allison Braves 3/$38
Barbieri Braves 3/$44
Ferguson Astros 4/$60
Fox Cubs 3/$50
Groveman Cubs 4/$65
Joura Cubs 4/$75
Koehler Cubs 4/$64
Netter Cubs 4/$60

Lance Lynn Team Years/Salary
Allison Mets 3/$32
Barbieri Brewers 4/$53
Ferguson Brewers 4/$56
Fox Cubs 4/$48
Groveman Mets 4/$60
Joura Brewers 4/$60
Koehler Brewers 3/$45
Netter Twins 4/$56

Greg Holland Team Years/Salary
Allison D’Backs 4/$45
Barbieri Twins 3/$38
Ferguson Cardinals 4/$50
Fox Rays 3/$40
Groveman Cardinals 4/$40
Joura Nationals 4/$52
Koehler Cardinals 4/$2
Netter Cardinals 4/$50

Alex Cobb Team Years/Salary
Allison Rays 1/$17.4
Barbieri Rockies 4/$48
Ferguson Rangers 4/$56
Fox Cards 4/$44
Groveman Twins 4/$50
Joura Cardinals 5/$75
Koehler Rangers 4/$44
Netter Cubs 4/$52

Carlos Santana Team Years/Salary
Allison Indians 3/$49
Barbieri Angels 4/$64
Ferguson Indians 4/$60
Fox Red Sox 3/$50
Groveman Indians 3/$45
Joura Indians 4/$42
Koehler Mariners 3/$48
Netter Indians 3/$39

Zack Cozart Team Years/Salary
Allison Brewers 3/$33
Barbieri Royals 4/$56
Ferguson Cardinals 4/$45
Fox Reds 3/$75
Groveman Angels 3/$38
Joura Cardinals 4/$50
Koehler Reds 4/$58
Netter Brewers 4/$52

Jay Bruce Team Years/Salary
Allison D’Backs 4/$58
Barbieri Blue Jays 3/$43
Ferguson Blue Jays 4/$60
Fox Indians 4/$48
Groveman Blue Jays 4/$48
Joura Rockies 3/$39
Koehler Blue Jays 4/$48
Netter Mets 3/$48

Addison Reed Team Years/Salary
Allison Mets 2/$14
Barbieri Astros 3/$32
Ferguson Twins 4/$48
Fox Astros 3/$21
Groveman Astros 3/$30
Joura Rockies 3/$39
Koehler Mets 4/$40
Netter Astros 4/$36

Todd Frazier Team Years/Salary
Allison Yankees 3/$50
Barbieri Giants 2/$24
Ferguson Mets 3/$37.5
Fox Mets 3/$36
Groveman Brewers 3/$32
Joura Mets 3/$40
Koehler Mets 3/$30
Netter Mets 3/$33

Jonathan Lucroy Team Years/Salary
Allison Rockies 4/$49
Barbieri White Sox 2/$22
Ferguson A’s 2/$20
Fox Rockies 3/$25
Groveman Rockies 3/$36
Joura D’Backs 2/$20
Koehler Rockies 2/$26
Netter Rockies 3/$36

Neil Walker Team Years/Salary
Allison Pirates 3/$30
Barbieri Angels 2/$18
Ferguson Angels 2/$25
Fox Pirates 3/$27
Groveman Braves 2/$18
Joura Brewers 2/$24
Koehler Blue Jays 2/$24
Netter Rays 2/$20

15 comments for “Potential landing spots for 17 free agents in the 2017-18 class

  1. David Groveman
    November 8, 2017 at 9:53 am

    David Groveman is way off base and I disagree with all of his predictions on philosophical grounds.

    • Chris F
      November 8, 2017 at 12:09 pm

      I agree, but Im sure David will have plenty to say in reply. 😉

      • David Groveman
        November 10, 2017 at 9:24 am


        I want the Mets to get Lynn and Moustakas.

  2. Chris F
    November 8, 2017 at 12:15 pm

    Well, the 2018 “Mets on the Cheap” sure comes out of this survey. I think this is headed for 80ish wins with the things we have seen to the present. Will be interesting to see if ever the cagey Windtalker Alderson has more moo-la than he leads on and can do the things necessary to win. So far 2018 doesnt look any brighter than the finish of 2017. Can Callaway still pitch? Does he count against the 25 man roster? Is Jason Bay’s contract paid off? What about Chris Young? No, not that Chris Young, the other Chris Young! Granny as the glue guy for 1M$? Maybe Bobby Bo as the glue guy?

    …just thinking out loud here…

  3. November 8, 2017 at 1:55 pm

    Assuming the Mets had $30 million to spend this offseason, would you sink a multi-year contract with an AAV of $25 into anyone?

    • MattyMets
      November 8, 2017 at 4:20 pm

      Brian, no I wouldn’t. They have 4 holes that need plugging. Perhaps one can be handled via trade, but we don’t have a ton of assets. In fact, I don’t think the Mets will go anywhere near that number. I predict they’ll sign one bat in the $12 to $16 range, like Bruce, Frazier, or Cain, a mid rotation veteran in the $8 – $12mm range , a reliever in the $5 to $8 range and then trade for one more bat. That’s about $30mm in FAs right there.

  4. Name
    November 8, 2017 at 3:52 pm

    Just for fun i summed up all the dollars per person for the total spend and years on these 17 FA

    Allison – 50/$720.4 mil
    Barbieri- 60/$977 mil
    Ferguson – 68/$1169.5 mil
    Fox – 62/$1019 mil
    Groveman – 68/$1132 mil
    Joura – 67/$1172 mil
    Koehler – 67/$1064 mil
    Netter – 69/$1161 mil

    Allison is the clear lowest one of the bunch, thinking that teams are going to be thrifty on years and total dollars to save money for next year’s mega FA class.
    Joura is the highest spender by a smidge over Ferguson in both total dollars and AAV.

    • MattyMets
      November 8, 2017 at 4:31 pm

      I don’t think next year’s FA class will have as big an impact on this year’s market as a lot of others believe. There are a lot of big market teams that came up just short or looking to bounce back and have clear holes to fill. Competition will drive prices/years up.

      Might a team pass on Frazier and Moustakas and make do with a veteran in his final year to wait and see about Donaldson and Machado? Hmm.

  5. JIMO
    November 8, 2017 at 4:40 pm

    I give these guys credit for being able to put together a forecast of any kind. So kudos to Groveman and all the rest of the prognosticators.

  6. Metsense
    November 8, 2017 at 10:22 pm

    In regard to the article, some members of the staff think the Mets will land some free agents. Moustakas at 4/80 may not be enough but Groveman is right in not paying any higher. Lynn at 4/60 is a realistic price by Dave and at that price should be a priority. Netter pegged Bruce at 3/48 which may be an over pay but he does fill the hole of power bat corner OF and first base insurance. Koehler offering Reed 4/40 may be slight overpay but we all know Addison – his aim is true. Four staffers chose Frazier with Netter being the most realistic at 3/33 and Frazier can also be insurance at first base. So the staff has chosen three power hitters,(assuming one is signed), one starter and one reliever at a price cost of $36-46 MM annual salary. The staff selections did a fine job of addressing the needs.
    No body chose Alex Cobb to the Mets but Ferguson’s offer of 4/56 should be matched as another alternative to Lynn.

  7. TexasGusCC
    November 9, 2017 at 12:37 am

    J. D. Martinez wants $200MM, LOL! Who wouldn’t?

  8. Name
    November 9, 2017 at 12:26 pm

    Not on the list, but it’s clearly between the Yankees and Rangers for Otani. The Mets have already spent all their intl money so they have no shot.


    Both are well-versed with Japanese players, with the Rangers having signed Darvish previously and the Yankees with Matsui and Tanaka.

    I think he’ll end up choosing the Rangers due to no state income taxes in Texas.

  9. November 9, 2017 at 5:29 pm

    If we trade for Gordon, sign Frasier and Bruce. Decent lineup and good defense up the middle. Smith, Gordon, Rosario, Frasier, Cespedes, Lagares/Nimmo ( until Conforto comes back), Bruce, TDA.

    • NormE
      November 9, 2017 at 5:39 pm

      If you sign Gordon and Frazier, what do you do with Cabrera? Are you going to pay him 8.5 million to sit on the bench and be an unhappy camper?
      Do you really believe that Bruce is going to give the Mets a discount to return to NY? Surely, the Mets will be outbid for his services.
      But then again, this is the time of year to dream.

      • November 10, 2017 at 9:59 am

        I know Bruce is not going to sign with us. I think he either stays with Cleveland with us being maybe 3rd or 4th destination. I know most posts are dreaming some. We have no idea if one or anything is going to be done by Mets. All opinions and pipe dreams.

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